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Dothan Area Weather Discussion Update Dec 7

Near Term [Rest Of Today]...

The Morning Visible Satellite Imagery Indicates Fairly Widespread
Stratus Across Much Of The Region, Extending Into The Northeast Gulf Of Mexico, And As Far South As The Interstate-4 Corridor In The
Central Florida Peninsula.

Current Cloud Ceiling Observations, Combined With The 12z Tae Sounding Suggest That The Stratus Layer Is Approximately 1000-1500ft Thick. While This Layer Is Thin Enough To Support Some Scattering Of The Stratus By This Afternoon, The Ridge Of Surface High Pressure Extending From The Carolinas Down Into Our
Area Is A Pattern That Typically Supports Days Where The Stratus
Takes Longer To Dissipate Than Models Indicate.

We Are Also Quickly Nearing The Time Of Year When The Sun Angle Will Be Lowest. Therefore, There Is A Reasonably Good Chance That The Stratus Will Persist In Many Areas Well Into The Early-To-Mid Afternoon.

Available Model Guidance Does Not Seem To Be Representing The
Current Extent Of The Cloud Cover, Or Its Evolution This Morning,
Very Well. The Near-Surface Layer That Is Being Impacted Is Rather
Thin, And That Could Be Playing A Role In The Models` Inability To
Resolve The Stratus Deck.

For Now We Lowered Highs A Couple Degrees Across The Board, With The Coolest Highs In Interior Portions Of Our Se Al And Sw Ga Counties. The Only Notable Area Of Clearing Thus Far Has Been Across Central Georgia. If This Continues, Then Highs May Need To Be Bumped In Another Update In The Northern Couple Of Rows Of Our Ga Counties, And Lowered Further Across The I-10 Corridor In
The Florida Panhandle (Which Would Then Be Squarely In The Middle Of The Remaining Stratus Deck).

The Temperature Forecast Has Lower Than Normal Confidence For The First 12 Hours.

Preliminary Point Temps/Pops...

Tallahassee 73 53 77 54 78 / 0 10 10 10 10
Panama City 71 60 75 61 74 / 0 10 10 10 20
Dothan 66 53 76 56 77 / 0 10 20 10 20
Albany 65 53 77 55 78 / 0 10 10 10 10
Valdosta 70 53 78 56 79 / 0 10 10 10 10
Cross City 76 54 79 55 79 / 0 10 10 10 10
Apalachicola 69 59 73 61 73 / 0 10 10 10 10

Tae Watches/Warnings/Advisories...

Fl...None.
Ga...None.
Al...None.
Gm...None.


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