Dothan Area Weather Discussion Mar 16

Near Term [Today]...

Zonal Flow Aloft And High Pressure Sliding East Of The Florida
Peninsula Will Lead To A Warm And Dry Day Across The Region. Expect High Temperatures To Rise Well Into The Upper 70s This Afternoon (Except For Cooler Temperatures Along The Immediate Coast).

Short Term [Tonight Through Sunday Night]...

The Flow Aloft Will Be Zonal Today With The Surface Ridge Over The
Eastern Gulf Continuing To Slide To The East.

The Resulting Onshore Flow Will Bring Increasing Low Level Moisture And Warmer Temps This Weekend.

Meanwhile, A Shortwave Currently Over Mexico Will Deamplify As It Lifts To The Northeast Across The Western Gulf On Sunday And Over The Tri-State Region Sunday Night.

Deep Layer Moisture And Decent Upper Level Energy Will Accompany This Feature To Bring A Chance Of Rain To Most Of Our Area During The Sunday/Sunday Night Time Frame.

The Best Chance For Rain Will Be Sunday Night With Pops Tapered From Southwest (40%) To Northeast (Silent 10%).

Max Temps Will Be In The Mid To Upper 70s Today.

Temps Will Be Similar Or A Few Degrees Cooler With Due To The Increase In Cloud Cover.

Min Temps Tonight Will Range From The Upper 40s To Lower 50s.

Long Term [Monday Through Friday]...

Overall Pattern Will Return To A More Active One Next Week With A
Series Of Low Amplitude Troughs Impacting The Region.

The First Will Spread Clouds And Increasing Rain Chances Across The Region From West To East Monday And Monday Night.

We Should See Clearing Tuesday Into Wednesday Before Yet Another Trough Brings A Returning Chance Of Rain For The End Of The Week.

Temperatures Should Remain Seasonal With Highs Generally In The Lower To Mid 70s Next Week.

Aviation [Through 06z Sunday]...

Limited Amount Of Smoke Impacting Ktlh Has Dissipated Early This
Morning, With Vfr Conditions Expected At All Terminals Through The
Forecast Period.

Winds Will Be Gusty Today (Up To 20 Knots), Especially At Kdhn And Kaby.

Marine...

High Pressure Centered Over The Eastern Gulf Will Slide To The East
Of The Florida Peninsula Later Today.

Winds Will Be Onshore At Least Through Monday Ahead Of A Cold Front And Then Swing Around To Become Offshore In Its Wake On Tuesday.

Winds And Seas May Elevate To Cautionary Levels Monday Through Tuesday.

Fire Weather...

Low Level Moisture Will Continue To Increase Through The Weekend,
Keeping Rh Values Above Critical Levels.

Dispersions Will Be Elevated Today Across The Area, Due To Strong Transport Winds.

Hydrology...

Rivers Are Expected To Remain Below Flood Stage Through The Period.

Preliminary Point Temps/Pops...

Tallahassee 77 49 75 58 78 / 0 0 20 40 30
Panama City 72 57 73 61 78 / 0 0 30 40 40
Dothan 78 53 76 59 80 / 0 0 20 30 40
Albany 78 51 78 58 80 / 0 0 10 20 40
Valdosta 77 49 77 57 80 / 0 0 10 10 30
Cross City 76 47 76 54 79 / 0 0 10 20 20
Apalachicola 70 56 70 62 75 / 0 0 30 40 30

Tae Watches/Warnings/Advisories...

Fl...None.
Ga...None.
Al...None.
Gm...None.


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