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Short Term Discussion

By: NWS
By: NWS

SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT)...WITH DEEP LAYER
HIGH PRESSURE FORECAST TO REMAIN IN PLACE OVER THE DEEP SOUTH
THROUGH THE NEXT 72 HOURS...AM NOT EXPECTING MUCH VARIATION IN THE
WEATHER OVER THE NEXT 3 DAYS. THE HOT AND RELATIVELY DRY
CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE.

THERE WILL A FEW SUBTLE CHANGES IN THE PATTERN FOR TUESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY. THE SFC RIDGE AXIS IS FORECAST TO SHIFT SOUTH OF THE
PANHANDLE ON TUESDAY AND THE LOW LEVEL FLOW WILL SHIFT TO THE
SOUTHWEST AND THEN WEST. IN ADDITION...A DRIER POCKET OF MID/UPPER
LEVEL AIR WILL SLIDE ACROSS THE REGION. WITH LESS OF AN ONSHORE
COMPONENT...EXPECT TO SEE DEWPOINTS A FEW DEGREES LOWER THAN THE
PAST SEVERAL DAYS...LOWER 70S INSTEAD OF MID/UPPER 70S. THIS
SHOULD KEEP HEAT INDEX VALUES A COUPLE DEGREES BELOW
TODAY...ALEVIATING THE NEED FOR ANOTHER HEAT ADVISORY. ALSO
EXPECT TO SEE POPS WELL BELOW CLIMO GIVEN THE RIDGE POSITION AND
DRYING ALOFT.

A CONTINUATION OF THE SUBTLE PATTERN CHANGE WILL CONTINUE FOR
WEDNESDAY AS THE UPPER RIDGE BEGINS TO SLIDE WEST AND THE SFC
RIDGE REMAINS SOUTH OVER THE GULF. WITH THE LOW LEVEL FLOW
BECOMING WESTERLY OR NORTHWESTERLY...DEWPOINT SHOULD REMAIN IN THE
LOWER 70S...ALTHOUGH TEMPERATURES WILL ONCE AGAIN CLIMB INTO THE
MID AND UPPER 90S. POPS WILL REMAIN BELOW SEABREEZE CLIMO.


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