Long Term Discussion

By: NWS
By: NWS

LONG TERM (SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY)...
MODELS REMAIN CONSISTENT WITH MID/UPPER LEVEL HIGHS OVER THE
SOUTHWEST U.S. AND OFF THE CAROLINA COASTS WITH WEAK TROUGHING IN
THE MIDDLE. WEAK EASTERLY WAVES WILL COMPLICATE THINGS SLIGHTLY AS
THEY PASS UNDER THE RIDGE AXIS ON SUNDAY AND WEDNESDAY.

BOTH EURO AND GFS ARE IN SOMEWHAT AGREEMENT ON THIS SCENARIO...EVEN
WITH THE GRADUAL SHIFT IN THE LOCATION OF THE UPPER ANTICYCLONE
EASTWARD LATE IN THE PERIOD. THE GFS CENTERS THE UPPER HIGH OVER THE
MID MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. THE LATEST EURO SHIFTS THE ANTICYCLONE INTO
THE SOUTHEAST U.S. BY THE END OF THE PERIOD. EURO IS SLIGHTLY MORE
BULLISH ON THE STRENGTH OF THE EASTERLY WAVES.

ALL IN ALL...SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL TEMPS UNTIL THE UPPER HIGH GETS
INTO OUR VICINITY...THEN BACK TO MID TO UPPER 90S. RAIN CHANCES
SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL EARLY IN THE PERIOD WITH CHANCES DROPPING LATE
IN THE PERIOD. THE EURO SUGGEST EVEN WARMER TEMPS AND LOWER POPS.

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