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Short Term Discussion

By: NWS
By: NWS

SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WAS CENTERED JUST TO THE WEST OF OUR CWA THIS AFTERNOON. THIS HIGH WILL MOVE ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA TONIGHT AND MOVE EAST OF THE FLORIDA PENINSULA BY DAYBREAK THURSDAY. MEANWHILE...AN UPPER RIDGE WITH AXIS CURRENTLY ACROSS THE CENTER OF THE NATION WILL BUILD AS IT MOVES EASTWARD. THE RIDGE AXIS WILL EXTEND FROM THE GREAT LAKES SOUTH THROUGH THE EASTERN GULF LATE THURSDAY AND THEN PASS TO THE EAST OF OUR FA ON FRIDAY. LIGHT OR CALM WINDS TONIGHT ALONG WITH MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES AND A DRY AIRMASS WILL RESULT IN ANOTHER NIGHT OF COLDER THAN NORMAL TEMPERATURES. MIN TEMPS ONCE AGAIN WILL BE IN THE MID TO UPPER 40S. LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE THURSDAY AS THE FLOW SWINGS AROUND TO THE SOUTHEAST. THIS WILL BECOME MORE PRONOUNCED ON FRIDAY WITH CHANCES OF RAIN RETURNING TO THE FORECAST. THIS SOUTHERLY FLOW ALONG WITH BUILDING HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT WILL PUSH MIN AND MAX TEMPS BACK TO NEAR SEASONAL LEVELS. FRIDAY WE MAY EVEN SEE UPPER 80S AND AN ISOLATED 90 DEGREE READING...ESPECIALLY AROUND ALBANY. AS MENTIONED...RAIN RETURNS TO THE FORECAST ON FRIDAY BUT THE GFS APPEARS TO HAVE CONVECTIVE FEEDBACK PROBLEMS AS IT SHOWS A BULLS EYE OF DEEP CONVECTION WITH 2" TO 4" AMOUNTS MOVING ACROSS OUR COASTAL WATERS AND INTO THE FLORIDA BIG BEND IN THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. WILL IGNORE THAT AND JUST TAPER POPS EVENLY FROM SOUTH TO NORTH WITH 40% OVER OUR FLORIDA ZONES DOWN TO 20% ACROSS THE UPPER TIER GEORGIA ZONES.


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