Short Term Discussion

By: NWS
By: NWS

THE MAIN FORECAST ISSUE FOR THE SHORT TERM WILL BE TEMPERATURES. HARD FREEZES ARE ANTICIPATED EACH OF THE NEXT TWO NIGHTS AS ARCTIC AIR CONTINUE TO FUNNEL SOUTH INTO THE REGION. HAVE OPTED TO KEEP MIN TEMPS IN THE 20S THE NEXT FEW NIGHTS SINCE THE CENTER OF THE HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN TO THE WEST OF THE FORECAST AREA. THUS...WILL CONTINUE TO HAVE DIFFICULTY COMPLETELY DECOUPLING DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. THE HIGH WILL BE SLIGHTLY CLOSER WEDNESDAY MORNING AND HAVE GONE A SHADE LOWER WITH MINS THAN TUESDAY MORNING. BY THURSDAY MORNING...HIGH PRESSURE SETTLES IN OVERHEAD...BUT MAY BEGIN TO SEE HIGH CLOUDS OVERSPREAD THE AREA AHEAD OF THE NEXT SHORTWAVE...KEEPING TEMPERATURES A FEW DEGREES HIGHER. MAV GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO BE SEVERAL DEGREES TO COOL WITH MIN TEMPS AND HAVE GONE WITH BLEND OF MET GUIDANCE AND RAW MODEL OUTPUT FROM THE GFS AND NAM. DAYTIME TEMPERATURES WILL STRETCH INTO THE 40S EACH OF THE NEXT FEW AFTERNOONS.


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