WTVY  | Dothan, AL  | News, Weather, Sports

Long Term Discussion

By: NWS
By: NWS

(THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY)...THE MAIN CONCERN IN THE LONG TERM PART OF THE FORECAST IS WHETHER WE WILL GET ANY NON LIQUID PRECIPITATION WITH THE NEXT GULF LOW TO AFFECT THE AREA. THE MODELS HAVE BEEN CONSISTENTLY SHOWING A LOW DEVELOPING AND THEN MOVING EWD ALONG OR NEAR THE GULF COAST IN THE WED NIGHT THROUGH EARLY FRI TIME FRAME. THE LATEST 00Z RUN OF THE GFS TAKES THE LOW ON A MORE SWD TRACK...WHICH TRANSLATES INTO MUCH COLDER TEMPS...EVEN DURING DAYTIME...AND A MUCH BETTER CHANCE FOR SNOW. THE EURO IS SLOWER TO BRING THE LOW EWD AND TRACKS IT A BIT CLOSER TO THE COAST...BUT IT IS STILL WEAK AND S OF THE AREA. BOTH MODELS SHOW THAT SO MUCH COLD AIR WILL BE READY TO SURGE BACK INTO THE REGION BEHIND THE SYSTEM...THAT WE FELT IT PRUDENT TO CONTINUE FORECASTING SOME NON-LIQUID PRECIPITATION. BELIEVE THE PRECIPITATION WILL HOLD OFF THU MORNING UNTIL AFTER TEMPS HAVE WARMED ENOUGH TO GET RAIN...SO HAVE REMOVED THE WINTRY MIX FOR THU MORNING. HOWEVER... BEGINNING THU EARLY EVENING...WE SHOW CHANCES OF RAIN OR SNOW ACROSS OUR NRN ZONES. WE ALSO INCLUDED A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR A BRIEF CHANGE OVER TO FLURRIES BEFORE PRECIPITATION ENDS THU NIGHT ACROSS THE NRN PORTION OF OUR FL ZONES. NOW THAT THE CAT IS OUT OF THE BAG IN FL...BE ASSURED THAT WE ARE NOT FORECASTING ANY MEASURABLE SNOW AT THIS TIME. IF FUTURE TRACKS OF THE GULF LOW GAIN LATITUDE...THE S WORD MAY BE REMOVED FROM THE FORECAST ALTOGETHER. THE VARIOUS MOS AND RAW MODEL TEMPS ARE ALL EXTREMELY COLD IN THE LONG TERM WITH THU AFTERNOON BEING THE LONE EXCEPTION IN FL. WE BLENDED IN THE EURO SOLUTION AND STILL NUDGED TEMPS UP SEVERAL DEGREES FROM THERE FOR THU NIGHT. EVERY PIECE OF GUIDANCE WE COULD FIND INDICATES AN EXCEPTIONALLY COLD DAY IS ON TAP FOR FRI IN THE WAKE OF THE LOW ACROSS OUR NWRN ZONES...WHERE MAX TEMPS WILL BE IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S. HARD FREEZES ARE FORECAST FOR FRI...SAT AND SUN NIGHTS WITH DAYTIME HIGHS ONLY VERY GRADUALLY MODIFYING. BY MON...WE MAY FINALLY SEE WIDESPREAD MAX TEMPS IN THE 50S.


WTVY-TV 285 N Foster Street Dothan, AL 36303 334-792-3195
Gray Television, Inc. - Copyright © 2002-2014 - Designed by Gray Digital Media - Powered by Clickability 80663567 - wtvy.com/a?a=80663567