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Short Term Discussion

By: NWS
By: NWS

THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...TUESDAY WILL BE A FAIRLY CALM DAY. CLOUD COVER WILL AGAIN LIMIT THE AMOUNT OF POTENTIAL HEATING...THUS EXPECT HIGHS TO REACH ONLY THE MID TO UPPER 60S. CLOUDS SHOULD BEGIN TO CLEAR OUT BY TOMORROW AFTERNOON. BEYOND TOMORROW NIGHT...THE FORECAST BECOMES MORE COMPLEX. MODELS ARE IN GENERAL AGREEMENT REGARDING THE FORMATION OF A DISTURBANCE IN THE GULF OVERNIGHT TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY. GFS AND EURO SOLUTIONS FAVOR A SLIGHTLY FURTHER WESTWARD MOVEMENT OF THIS FEATURE WHILE THE NAM TENDS TO KEEP IT FURTHER TO THE EAST. EITHER WAY...IT APPEARS THE BULK OF THE RAIN AND CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY WILL REMAIN TO THE EAST OF TALLAHASSEE. HOWEVER...SOME SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AS THE SYSTEM MOVES ACROSS THE NORTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA. THE BEST RAIN CHANCES WILL BE ACROSS THE EASTERN FLORIDA BIG BEND. A COLD FRONT IS THEN EXPECTED TO CROSS THE AREA EARLY ON THANKSGIVING DAY USHERING IN SOME PLEASANT COLD WEATHER FOR THOSE FRIDAY MORNING SALES SHOPPERS. RAIN WILL NOT BE LIKELY WITH THIS FRONT AS THE AIRMASS AHEAD OF IT WILL BE RELATIVELY DRY. BEYOND THIS TIMEFRAME...MODELS ARE POINTING AT SOME POTENTIAL WET WEATHER FOR EARLY NEXT WEEK.


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