Southeast Discussion

By: NWS
By: NWS

NO MAJOR CHANGES IN THE OVERALL FORECAST PHILOSOPHY FROM THE PREVIOUS PACKAGE. ALTHOUGH THERE ARE SOME NOTABLE DIFFERENCES BETWEEN THE NEW 12Z NAM/GFS RUNS...THEY BOTH INDICATE INCREASING DEEP LAYER MOISTURE AND RAIN CHANCES OVER OUR LOCAL FORECAST AREA THROUGH THE DAY SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT AS THE SURFACE LOW/FRONT APPROACH AND MOVE OVER THE REGION FROM SW TO NE. THE LATEST SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWED THE SURFACE LOW CENTERED OVER THE NWRN GULF JUST OFF THE CENTRAL TX COAST WITH A WARM FRONT EXTENDING SOUTHEAST OVER THE CENTRAL GULF. RECENTLY ANIMATED VAPOR LOOP SHOWED A FAIRLY STRONG SHORTWAVE TROUGH WEST OF THIS SURFACE FEATURE OVER WESTERN TX SLOWLY TRACKING EAST. THE GFS HAS INITIALIZED WELL WITH THESE FEATURES WHILE THE NAM APPEARS TO BE JUST OFF TO THE WEST. THEREFORE...WILL LEAN MORE TOWARD THE GFS SOLUTION IN THIS PACKAGE. TONIGHT...THE PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED SURFACE LOW/WARM FRONT WILL LIFT NORTHEAST TOWARD THE CENTRAL GULF COAST STATES. UPPER-LEVEL SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL LEAD TO INCREASING CLOUD COVER ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH THIS TIME. WINDS WILL BEGIN TO SHIFT TOWARD THE EAST BY DAYBREAK AND BEGIN TO INCREASE TO MODERATE LEVELS ACROSS THE PANHANDLE COASTAL WATERS AS THE GRADIENT TIGHTENS.


WTVY-TV 285 N Foster Street Dothan, AL 36303 334-792-3195
Copyright © 2002-2014 - Designed by Gray Digital Media - Powered by Clickability 70666547 - wtvy.com/a?a=70666547
Gray Television, Inc.