Nov 20 Hazardous Weather Outlook

By: associated press
By: associated press
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST ALABAMA...  
SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA...AND THE FLORIDA BIG BEND  
AND PANHANDLE...AND ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS

11/12: Bad weather made the search and rescue efforts difficult

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
311 AM EST FRI NOV 20 2009

ALZ065069-FLZ007019-026029-034-GAZ120131-142148-155161-
GMZ730-750-755-765-770-775-210815-
COFFEE-DALE-HENRY-GENEVA-HOUSTON-INLAND WALTON-COASTAL WALTON-
HOLMES-WASHINGTON-JACKSON-BAY-CALHOUN-GULF-FRANKLIN-GADSDEN-LEON-
JEFFERSON-MADISON-LIBERTY-WAKULLA-TAYLOR-LAFAYETTE-DIXIE-QUITMAN-
CLAY-RANDOLPH-TERRELL-DOUGHERTY-LEE-WORTH-TURNER-TIFT-BEN HILL-
IRWIN-EARLY-MILLER-BAKER-MITCHELL-COLQUITT-COOK-BERRIEN-SEMINOLE-
DECATUR-GRADY-THOMAS-BROOKS-LOWNDES-LANIER-
APALACHEE BAY OR COASTAL WATERS FROM KEATON BEACH TO OCHLOCKONEE
RIVER FL OUT TO 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM OCHLOCKONEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL OUT TO
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SUWANNEE RIVER TO KEATON BEACH OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM SUWANNEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
311 AM EST FRI NOV 20 2009 /211 AM CST FRI NOV 20 2009/

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT...
NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...
RAIN CHANCES WILL INCREASE ON SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT AS A LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM DEVELOPS OFF THE TEXAS COAST TODAY...THEN MOVES
NORTHEAST ACROSS THE CENTRAL GULF COAST SATURDAY. AS IT MOVES
INLAND...A WARM FRONT WILL MOVE NORTH ACROSS THE GULF COAST
STATES...FOLLOWED BY A COLD FRONT ON SUNDAY. IT IS STILL UNCLEAR
HOW STRONG AND EXACTLY WHAT TRACK THIS LOW WILL TAKE...AND THIS
UNCERTAINTY AFFECTS THE FORECAST FOR SEVERE STORMS. IF THE LOW IS
RATHER WEAK AND TAKES A MORE EASTWARD TRACK ALONG THE GULF
COAST...THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR OUR REGION WOULD BE MINIMAL.
IF THE LOW IS STRONGER AND TAKES A MORE NORTHERLY TRACK ACROSS
MISSISSIPPI...THEN THE RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER ACROSS OUR AREA
WOULD BE HIGHER. FOR NOW WE ARE FORECASTING AN INTENSITY AND TRACK
SOMEWHERE IN BETWEEN THESE SCENARIOS...WHICH MEANS ABOUT A
5 PERCENT CHANCE OF SEVERE STORMS OCCURRING WITHIN 25 MILES OF ANY
POINT...WHICH IS LOW BUT NOT NEGLIGIBLE. THE MAIN THREAT WOULD BE
DAMAGING WINDS AND ISOLATED TORNADOES. CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE
FROM WEST TO EAST ON SUNDAY AS THE COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY...BUT SPOTTERS ARE
ASKED TO MONITOR SUBSEQUENT FORECASTS REGARDING THE POTENTIAL FOR
SEVERE WEATHER SATURDAY NIGHT AND EARLY SUNDAY MORNING.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
WEBSITE ON THE INTERNET AT WEATHER.GOV...THEN CLICK ON YOUR AREA
OF INTEREST ON THE NATIONAL MAP.

$$
Delivered by DTN Meteorlogix FRI Nov 20 2009 3:12AM EST


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