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Yep. It's early November but a tropical depression is likely developing. In fact, it could be deemed a depression as soon as this afternoon.
A small low pressure circulation is located in the extreme southwest Caribbean Sea.
During the past 12 to 18 hours, cloud organization has become more symmetric and defined. Thunderstorms continue to bubble up around the center of circulation.
The area of low pressure is close to stationary just off the coast of Costa Rica. Surface winds over land remain very light but it's more than likely higher wind speeds can be found underneath the canopy of thunderstorms.
Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunters will investigate this tropical low ater today and should have a fix on this disturbance by later this afternoon.
The Weather Channel's Dr. Lyons notes that these low pressure areas near Central America are nearly always a forecast difficulty.
Computer weather models provide three different scenarios: 1) The possible depression moves slowly west inland 2) It moves slowly northwest and then inland or 3) It just drifts and remains offshore for several days
In the short term, this is a heavy rain and potential flooding event for Panama, Costa Rica, Nicaragua and Honduras as tropical rainbands rotate onshore over and over again.
If this potential depression reaches storm strength it will be named Tropical Storm Ida.
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