Monday through Friday

By: NWS
By: NWS

A LOW AMPLITUDE MID/UPPER RIDGE WILL BE CENTERED OVER OR EAST OF THE BAHAMAS AT THE BEGINNING OF THE PERIOD. THIS RIDGE IS FORECAST TO RETROGRADE ACROSS THE GULF AND INTO MEXICO BY WEDNESDAY AND WEAKEN. THEN... STRONG SHORTWAVE ENERGY DROPPING SOUTHEAST FROM THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST WILL CARVE OUT A DEEP TROUGH OVER THE FOUR CORNER`S REGION THURSDAY WITH AXIS PUSHING THROUGH THE PLAINS ON FRIDAY. LOCALLY...THE SURFACE FRONT WILL LIE EAST TO WEST ACROSS OUR CWA SUNDAY NIGHT AND LIFT NORTH AS A WARM FRONT MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY AS THE DEEP RIDGING SLIDES ACROSS THE GULF. THE FRONT THEN GETS NUDGED SOUTHWARD ON WEDNESDAY AS WEAK UPPER TROUGHING DEVELOPS IN THE WAKE OF THE DEPARTING MID/UPPER RIDGE AS WELL AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN FROM THE NORTH. THIS FRONT MAY BRIEFLY PUSH SOUTH OF OUR CWA WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY BEFORE LIFTING NORTH ON FRIDAY AHEAD OF THE NEXT LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM DEVELOPING IN THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. A LOT OF UNCERTAINTY WITH THIS FORECAST... ESPECIALLY WITH RESPECT TO THE POSITION OF THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY AND WHETHER WE ACTUALLY GET A CLEAR FRONTAL PASSAGE. FOR NOW WILL SHOW CHANCE POPS MOST ZONES THROUGH WEDNESDAY AND BE OPTIMISTIC IN PLACING ONLY SLIGHT POP ALL ZONES THURSDAY. TEMPS WILL BE ABOVE CLIMO THROUGH THE PERIOD BUT HOPEFULLY AT LEAST A LITTLE MORE SEASONAL BY WEDNESDAY OR THURSDAY.


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