Saturday Night Through Thursday

By: NWS
By: NWS

THROUGH THE EXTENDED PERIOD THE FORECAST AREA WILL BE SITUATED BETWEEN A MEAN TROUGH OVER THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE OVER THE WESTERN ATLANTIC. THIS WILL LEAD TO A GENERAL SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT. GUIDANCE DIFFERS ON THE DETAILS... WITH GFS GENERATING A STRONGER CUTOFF LOW TO THE WEST AND SUBSEQUENT DEEPER MOISTURE PLUME LIFTING ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA BY EARLY NEXT WEEK. EURO IS LESS AGGRESSIVE WITH THE UPPER LOW AND THE MOISTURE PLUME. BOTH SETS OF GUIDANCE SHOW A GENERAL EAST TO SOUTHEAST LOW LEVEL FLOW...AND THIS COUPLED WITH THE SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT SHOULD LEAD TO AT LEAST CLIMO POPS FOR THE REGION THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. HAVE GONE WITH THIS IDEA FOR THE GRIDS...NOT BITING ON THE GFS MOISTURE PLUME QUITE YET.


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