Saturday through Wednesday

By: NWS
By: NWS

REMNANTS OF THE UPPER LOW WILL CONTINUE TO OPEN UP AS IT LIFTS NEWD AWAY FROM THE AREA AT THE START OF THE PERIOD. IN ITS WAKE...THE LONG WAVE TROUGH WILL AMPLIFY ONCE AGAIN OVER THE ERN U.S. AS THE PARENT UPPER LOW TRACKS EWD ACROSS THE NRN GREAT LAKES AND ON INTO QUEBEC BY MONDAY MORNING. TROPICAL STORM DANNY WILL BE SITUATED OFF THE SERN U.S. COAST AT THE START OF THE PERIOD. THE 00Z SATURDAY POSITION RANGES FROM THE GFS POSITION WHICH IS FASTEST AND FARTHEST FROM THE COAST...TO THE 15/12Z EURO WHICH IS SLOWER AND MUCH CLOSER TO SC. THE NAM IS IN BETWEEN...BUT THE STRONGEST OF THE THREE. HPC HAS BEEN TRENDING TOWARD THE NAM/EURO OF THE ENVELOPE. WE THEREFORE PLAN TO BACK OUR WINDS TO NWLY FRIDAY NIGHT BEFORE BACKING THEM FURTHER TO SOMETHING LIKE THE GFS ON SATURDAY. ONCE DANNY LIFTS NWD AWAY FROM THE SERN STATES...A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE NW BY LATE IN THE WEEKEND. THIS FRONT IS PROGGED BY THE GFS AND EURO TO PUSH SLOWLY ACROSS THE AREA MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...WITH DRIER AIR MOVING IN BEHIND IT FOR TUE AND WED. POPS WILL BE NEAR NORMAL THROUGH SATURDAY AND THEN DROP BELOW NORMAL AFTER THAT. IN FACT...WE MAY LOWER POPS TO SILENT 10S FOR TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. TEMPS WILL BE NEAR NORMAL WITH LOWS FALLING BACK BELOW NORMAL BEHIND THE COLD FRONT.


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