Long Term

By: NWS
By: NWS

THE EXTENDED PERIOD BEGINS WITH HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN ALOFT AND WILL BE MAINTAINED THROUGH MUCH OF THE PERIOD. HOWEVER...THE RIDGE BEGINS TO BREAK DOWN NEAR THE END OF THE PERIOD AS A TROUGH DEEPENS IN THE NATIONS MIDSECTION. AT THE SURFACE...THE RIDGE AXIS WILL STAY NORTH OF THE CWA...WHICH WILL MAINTAIN EITHER A SE OR ELY FLOW THROUGH MOST OF THE PERIOD. THIS WILL RESULT IN BELOW NORMAL POPS AND SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL TEMPS. LOTS OF UNCERTAINTY ENTERS THE PICTURE NEAR THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE EURO HAS MAINTAINED A WEAKER WESTERN ATLANTIC RIDGE WITH THE SECOND WAVE...CURRENTLY JUST OFF THE AFRICAN COAST...DEVELOPING INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE AND RECURVING EAST OF THE CONUS. THE GFS ALSO DEVELOPS THE SECOND WAVE INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE...BUT MAINTAINS A STRONGER WESTERN ATLANTIC RIDGE...WHICH KEEPS THE TROPICAL CYCLONE TRACKING FARTHER SOUTH AND WEST...AND AT THE END OF THE EXTENDED...IT IS IN THE SLOT BETWEEN CUBA AND THE BAHAMAS. THEREFORE...NEXT WEEK SHOULD BE INTERESTING TO SAY THE LEAST.


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