Through Monday

By: NWS
By: NWS

BY AFTERNOON FRONT CREEPS INTO OUR NWRN ZONES. A DECENT POP GRADIENT IS FORECAST WITH 20 NW TO 70 PCT SE. THE FRONT SHOULD CONTINUE TO MAKE SLOW SEWD PROGRESS DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. THIS WILL ALLOW TEMPS TO DROP INTO THE MID 60S ACROSS THE NRN ZONES BY SUN MORNING. SUNDAY...THE FORECAST IS A BIT UNCERTAIN SIMPLY BECAUSE OF THE UNCERTAINTY INVOLVED WITH HOW FAR TO THE SE THE FRONT WILL ULTIMATELY GET. BELIEVE IT WILL BECOME QSTNRY ACROSS FL ZONES. IT LOOKS AS IF DEW POINTS WILL DROP INTO THE UPPER 50S IN AFTERNOON ACROSS OUR NWRN ZONES WITH LOWER TO MID 60S EVEN INTO NW FL. A RARE BREAK FROM THE HUMIDITY OF SUMMER TO BE SURE. ALSO MODELS BEGIN TO DIVERGE THIS DAY. GFS WITH STRONG SURFACE WAVE DEVELOPING ALONG STALLED FRONT BY EVE WHICH THEN RIDES EWD ALONG WAVE WITH DEVELOPMENT OF POSSIBLE CONVECTIVE FEEDBACK PROBLEMS...ECMWF WITH WEAKER LOW AND NAM WITHOUT LOW. THIS REFLECTED IN NOTICEABLY HIGHER POPS THAN IN NAM. WILL GO WITH 0-40 PCT NW-SE POP GRADIENT. MONDAY...FRONT WILL LIMP SWD AND BEGIN TO WASH OUT. 0-40 PCT NW-SE POP GRADIENT.


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