Thursday through Monday

By: NWS
By: NWS

EXTENDED PERIOD WILL BEGIN WITH PERSISTENT SURFACE RIDGE AXIS BRIDGING WESTWARD FROM WRN ATLC INTO INTO THE NE GULF OF MEXICO WHICH WILL PROVIDE A LIGHT WSW LOW LEVEL FLOW. HOWEVER...GFS INDICATES A SERIES OF MID LEVEL SHORT WAVES EMANATING FROM SW CONUS UPPER TROUGH AND MOVING ALONG THE SOUTHERN EDGE OF THE WESTERLIES. THIS WILL BEGIN TO SUPPRESS THE SRN STREAM MID LEVEL RIDGE SWD BY THU. THIS MAY PROVIDE FOR INCREASED CLOUDS AND SHOWERS ACROSS OUR NRN TIER COUNTIES BY FRI. BUT...AT SAME TIME...UPPER RIDGE WILL BRIDGE NWD ACROSS THE GULF OF MEXICO AND NRN PENINSULA INCREASING SUBSIDENCE FEM SW-NE OVER CWA. SO OVERALL EXPECT A DECREASING TREND IN POPS AND INCREASING TREND IN TEMPS. ANY PRECIP THRU AT LEAST SAT SHOULD BE SHALLOW OCCURRING ESPECIALLY ACROSS ANY GULF COAST/EAST COAST SEA BREEZE COLLISIONS. THEN...GFS PROJECTS A WEAK W-E QUASI-STATIONARY BOUNDARY APPROACHING OUR AREA BY SAT AND MOVING THROUGH DURING LATE WEEKEND. FRONT ASSOCD WITH WEAK DYNAMICS...BUT INCREASING MOISTURE...INSTABILITY SHOULD BE ENOUGH TO TRIGGER SCT TSTMS...ESPECIALLY SUN AND MON AFTN. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN ABOVE CLIMO THRU SAT NW THIRD AND SUN SE THIRD...DECREASING TO CLIMO LATE WEEKEND INTO MONDAY DUE TO INCREASING CLOUDS AND RAIN CHANCES. EXPECT WIDELY SCATTERED OR LESS POPS THRU SAT THEN LOW SCT POPS SUN AND LO-MID SCT POPS MON.


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