Through Friday

By: NWS
By: NWS

THE WEAK UPSTREAM SHORT WAVE WILL WORK ITS WAY EWD TO OUR SERN ZONES AND THE FAR ERN GULF BY AROUND 00Z. EXPECT CONVECTION TO DROP OFF FAIRLY QUICKLY AFTER SUNSET. THIS IS SUPPORTED BY THE LATEST (12Z) WRF. WE ARE FORECASTING AREAS OF FOG TO DEVELOP OVER THE SERN ZONES FROM AAF TO TLH TO MGR AND POINTS SE. THE COLD FRONT THAT PROMISES TO BRING THE MUCH ANTICIPATE DRYING TREND FOR THE WEEKEND WITH BE PUSHING ACROSS AL ON THU. THE DEEPEST MOISTURE WILL BE OVER THE ERN ZONES BUT THE CLOSING FRONT...STEEPENING MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES...AND DECENT LOWER LEVEL DEW POINT DEPRESSIONS WILL ENHANCE CONVECTION OVER THE WRN ZONES AS WELL. SPC HAS OUR NWRN ZONES OUTLOOKED FOR A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE STORMS WITH HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND GUSTS THE PRIMARY THREAT. POPS ARE IN THE 50-60 PERCENT RANGE ACROSS THE REGION. THE FRONT WILL BEGIN CROSSING THE FORECAST AREA THU NIGHT WITH DRIER AIR MOVING IN BEHIND IT. THIS WILL BE A SLOW FRONTAL PASSAGE...NOT SURPRISING CONSIDERING THE TIME OF YEAR. POPS WILL RANGE FROM 20 W TO 30 E FOR THU NIGHT AND FRI WITH SLIGHT CHANCE POPS LINGERING ONLY ACROSS THE SERN FL BIG BEND ZONES BY FRI EVENING. TEMPS THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD WILL SHOW LARGER DIURNAL RANGES THAN RECENT DAYS. MAX TEMPS WILL BE NEAR NORMAL WITH MIN TEMPS SLIGHTLY ABOVE.


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