Through Friday Night

By: NWS
By: NWS

NO MAJOR CHANGE IN THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY OVER THE NEW FEW DAYS. THE FORECAST AREA WILL REMAIN POSITIONED BETWEEN A LARGE HIGH PRESSURE AREA TO THE NORTH AND A LOW TO THE SOUTH. THE MODELS ARE ALL IN DECENT AGREEMENT AND SHOW THE LOW CONTINUING ON A SLOW WEST-NORTHWEST TRACK TOWARD THE CENTRAL GULF COAST THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT. THE WINDS WILL REMAIN GUSTY OVER THE AREA WITH THE TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT IN PLACE BETWEEN THESE TWO SYNOPTIC FEATURES AND WILL GRADUALLY VEER FROM NORTHEAST TO EAST BY THE END OF THE WORK WEEK. IN ADDITION TO THE WINDS...THE RAIN CHANCES WILL REMAIN UP THROUGH THE PERIOD...ESPECIALLY OVER THE SOUTH AND EASTERN SECTIONS OF THE CWA. A BLEND OF THE GUIDANCE AND THE MODELS SUPPORT THIS POP COVERAGE. ALTHOUGH THERE WILL BE PLENTY OF DEEP LAYER MOISTURE IN PLACE ACROSS THE AREA DURING THIS PERIOD...SOME DRIER AIR WRAPPING AROUND THIS FEATURE ALONG WITH A SLIGHT INCREASE IN INSTABILITY WILL LEAD TO INCREASING THUNDERSTORM CHANCES. THE MODELS SHOW THE HIGHER RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS REMAINING OFF THE COAST AND A RANGE BETWEEN A HALF INCH OVER THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE CWA TO AROUND ONE TO ONE AND A HALF INCHES OVER THE FLORIDA ZONES.


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