WTVY  | Dothan, AL  | News, Weather, Sports

Thursday through Monday

By: NWS
By: NWS

(THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY)... ONE THING THAT IS CERTAIN ABOUT THE EXTENDED PORTION OF THIS FORECAST IS THAT THERE IS A LOT OF UNCERTAINTY IN IT. THAT SAID... THERE IS AT LEAST SOME RUN TO RUN CONSISTENCY TO LATCH ONTO. UNFORTUNATELY...THE OPERATIONAL GFS THAT WE TYPICALLY BASE OUR FORECAST ON IS AN ERN OUTLIER INTO MIDWEEK. WHILE THIS SOLUTION MAY PROVE CORRECT...IT IS STILL TOO EARLY TO BUY IT COMPLETELY. WILL HAVE TO WAIT FOR THE LOW TO ACTUALLY DEVELOP BEFORE TRENDING TO ITS SOLUTION. THEREFORE...WE PLAN TO LEAN HEAVILY TOWARD A NAM/ECMWF BLEND FOR THE START OF THE PERIOD WED NIGHT AND THEN A ECMWF/SREF ENSEMBLE BLEND FOR THU INTO FRI NIGHT. WILL TRY TO BLEND THE GFS/EURO AFTER 12Z SAT. REGARDLESS OF THE EVOLUTION OF THE LOW...IT LOOKS LIKE RAIN CHANCES WILL BE ELEVATED ABOVE CLIMO INTO THE WEEKEND. WINDS WILL ALSO REMAIN ELEVATED THROUGH MUCH OF THIS PERIOD. IT IS CERTAINLY POSSIBLE THAT GALE CONDITIONS WILL DEVELOP LATE IN THE WEEK IF THE EURO SOLUTION VERIFIES. FOR NOW...WILL FOLLOW THE METHOD OF PREVIOUS FORECASTERS AND CAP WINDS IN THE SCA RANGE. WINDS SHOULD BEGIN TO SUBSIDE OVER THE WEEKEND AS THE LOW MOVE FURTHER INLAND OVER THE SERN U.S. OF COURSE...THE 64000 DOLLAR QUESTION IS WHETHER THIS SYSTEM WILL GAIN ANY TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS. IT APPEARS DOUBTFUL AT THIS TIME THAT A PURELY TROPICAL SYSTEM WILL EVOLVE. A SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM IS NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION. EVEN IF THE SYSTEM REMAINS PURELY EXTRATROPICAL...THE GENERAL FORECAST OF WINDY AND RAINY HOLDS. MIN TEMPS WILL BE BACK TO NORMAL AT THE START OF THE PERIOD WITH MAX TEMPS NOT RECOVERING TO NEAR NORMAL UNTIL THE WEEKEND.


WTVY-TV 285 N Foster Street Dothan, AL 36303 334-792-3195
Gray Television, Inc. - Copyright © 2002-2014 - Designed by Gray Digital Media - Powered by Clickability 45357617 - wtvy.com/a?a=45357617