May 18 Hazardous Weather Outlook

By: national weather service
By: national weather service

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
540 AM EDT MON MAY 18 2009

ALZ065069-FLZ007019-026029-034-GAZ120131-142148-155161-
GMZ730-750-755-765-770-775-190900-
COFFEE-DALE-HENRY-GENEVA-HOUSTON-INLAND WALTON-COASTAL WALTON-
HOLMES-WASHINGTON-JACKSON-BAY-CALHOUN-GULF-FRANKLIN-GADSDEN-LEON-
JEFFERSON-MADISON-LIBERTY-WAKULLA-TAYLOR-LAFAYETTE-DIXIE-QUITMAN-
CLAY-RANDOLPH-TERRELL-DOUGHERTY-LEE-WORTH-TURNER-TIFT-BEN HILL-
IRWIN-EARLY-MILLER-BAKER-MITCHELL-COLQUITT-COOK-BERRIEN-SEMINOLE-
DECATUR-GRADY-THOMAS-BROOKS-LOWNDES-LANIER-
APALACHEE BAY OR COASTAL WATERS FROM KEATON BEACH TO OCHLOCKONEE
RIVER FL OUT TO 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM OCHLOCKONEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL OUT TO
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SUWANNEE RIVER TO KEATON BEACH OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM SUWANNEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
540 AM EDT MON MAY 18 2009 /440 AM CDT MON MAY 18 2009/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST ALABAMA...
SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA...AND THE FLORIDA BIG BEND
AND PANHANDLE...AND ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...

A COLD FRONT WILL SETTLE SOUTH OF THE A REGION TODAY WITH ANY
LINGERING SHOWERS OR AREAS OF LIGHT RAIN CONFINED TO THE SOUTHEAST
BIG BEND ZONES BY THIS AFTERNOON.

A TIGHT GRADIENT WILL PERSIST THROUGH TONIGHT ACROSS THE COASTAL
WATERS IN THE WAKE OF THIS FRONT. THIS TIGHT GRADIENT WILL
RESULT IN ADVISORY LEVEL WINDS AND SEAS. WIND GUSTS UP TO 30 KNOTS
ARE ANTICIPATED TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...

MUCH DRIER LOW LEVEL AIR WILL RESULT IN THE POTENTIAL FOR LOW
RELATIVE HUMIDITY ACROSS A LARGE PORTION OF THE AREA TUESDAY
AFTERNOON. THESE CONDITIONS MAY RESULT IN A PERIOD OF CRITICAL
FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS OVER PORTION OF NORTHERN FLORIDA AND
SOUTHWEST GEORGIA.

WILL BE WATCHING THE DEVELOPMENT OF LOW PRESSURE ACROSS THE
SOUTHEAST GULF OF MEXICO THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK. THERE IS
STILL SOME UNCERTAINTY IN THE EXACT EVOLUTION AND STRENGTH OF THIS
LOW AS IT MOVES SLOWLY NORTHWEST INTO THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO.
ALTHOUGH THERE ARE DIFFERENCES IN THE TRACK AND STRENGTH WITHIN
THE GUIDANCE MODELS...THERE IS AGREEMENT IN A CONTINUED TIGHT
GRADIENT ACROSS OUR COASTAL WATERS THROUGH AT LEAST WEDNESDAY.
THIS TIGHT GRADIENT BETWEEN A STRONG AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE TO OUR
NORTH AND THE DEVELOPING LOW TO OUR SOUTH WILL KEEP ADVISORY LEVEL
WINDS AND SEAS ACROSS OUR COASTAL WATERS FOR SEVERAL DAYS.

THE TIGHT GRADIENT WILL ALSO RESULT IN BREEZY TO WINDY CONDITIONS
ACROSS INLAND AREAS DURING THE DAY TUESDAY...AND LAKE WIND
ADVISORIES SHOULD BE ANTICIPATED.

ALSO DEPENDING ON THE EVENTUAL POSITION OF THE LOW...TIDES ALONG
APALACHEE BAY MAY BECOME A CONCERN DURING THE MIDDLE...AND
ESPECIALLY LATER PORTION OF THE WEEK. CONFIDENCE IN THE POSITION
OF THIS LOW IS NOT HIGH AT THIS TIME...HOWEVER A POSITION
SOMEWHERE SOUTH OR SOUTHWEST OF FLORIDA BIG BEND MAY RESULT IN
MINOR COASTAL FLOODING AT THE TIMES OF HIGH TIDE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
WEBSITE ON THE INTERNET AT WEATHER.GOV...THEN CLICK ON YOUR AREA
OF INTEREST ON THE NATIONAL MAP.

$$
Delivered by DTN Meteorlogix MON May 18 2009 5:40AM EDT


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