May 25, 2013
CONDITION WILL SUPPORT ANOTHER ACTIVE SEA-BREEZE CONVECTION EVENT FOR FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING. LOCAL WORKSTATIONS WRF HAS BEEN PERFORMING VERY WELL OVER THE PAST FEW DAYS WITH THE THUNDERSTORMS ACTIVITY AND ONCE AGAIN SHOWS SCT-NMRS DEVELOPMENT DURING THE EARLY AFTERNOON ACROSS THE FLORIDA BIG BEND WITH THE ACTIVITY SPREADING NORTH AND WEST RAPIDLY THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS. INHERITED POP DISTRIBUTION OF LIKELY 55-65% EAST OF THE APALACHICOLA RIVER STILL APPEARS REASONABLE FOR THE PATTERN. HOWEVER BASED ON LATEST GUIDANCE WILL BUMP UP THE POPS TO LIKELY 55-60% WEST OF THE RIVER AND AWAY FROM THE IMMEDIATE COAST. TEMPERATURES WILL BE SIMILAR TO WHAT WAS SEEN ON THURSDAY AFTERNOON WITH LOWER TO MIDDLE 80S COMMON. TEMPERATURES HOWEVER WILL BE HIGHLY DEPENDENT ON IF AND HOW QUICKLY EACH LOCATIONS RECEIVES RAINFALL.
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