May 18, 2013
BOTH THE 21/00Z GFS AND 20/12Z EURO MODELS REMAIN CONSISTENT WITH THE DEVELOPMENT OF DEEP LAYER RIDGING ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST U.S. EARLY IN THE PERIOD...WITH 500 MB HEIGHTS RISING TO AROUND 585 DM. THIS WILL RESULT IN SUMMERLIKE WARMTH ON FRIDAY WITH HIGHS OVER THE INTERIOR INTO THE MID AND UPR 80S...WHICH ARE ABOUT 5 DEGREES ABOVE CLIMO. THEN THE RIDGE BEGINS TO BREAK DOWN THIS WEEKEND AS A TROUGH TO THE WEST MOVES ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST...WITH HIGH TEMPS MODERATING BACK TO CLIMO (LOW 80S). WITH DEEP LAYER MOISTURE AND DYNAMICS ABSENT...POPS WILL BE SILENT 10S. THEN THE RIDGE BECOMES REESTABLISHED OVER THE REGION EARLY NEXT WEEK...WITH TEMPS WARMING BACK TO ABOVE CLIMO ONCE AGAIN.
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