May 19, 2013
THE BEST LIFT AND FORCING THROUGH REST OF WORK WEEK WILL BE ON THURSDAY ACROSS SE ALABAMA...SW GA...AND THE FL PANHANDLE AS ANOTHER SHORT WAVE MOVES THROUGH AND INITIAL FRONT SAGS SWD. THE COMBINATION OF DECENT INSTABILITY AND DEEP LAYER SHEAR COULD SET THE STAGE FOR ISOLATED STRONG TO SVR STORMS THURSDAY AFTERNOON OVER THE WESTERN HALF OF THE CWA (SFC BASED CAPE =500-800 J/KG...0-6 KM SHEAR 40-50 KTS...DEWPOINTS 60-65). SPC HAS PLACED THIS PORTION OF THE CWA IN A SLIGHT RISK FOR SVR STORMS THROUGH DAY THREE. BETTER SEVERE WX POTENTIAL ON SATURDAY WITH SQUALL/PARENT FRONT. TIMING OF BEST CHC SEVERE WX AND ANY FLOODING TRICKY BECAUSE MODELS STILL DIVERGE. SEE EXTENDED DISCUSSION FOR DETAILS.
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