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Discussion through Sunday Night

By: NWS
By: NWS

THE ENERGY OUT W WILL MOVE OUT INTO THE PLAINS BY SAT NIGHT AND THEN BE SHUNTED UP AND OVER THE RIDGE SUN AND SUN NIGHT. THE SURFACE RIDGE WILL HOLD ITS POSITION THROUGH THE SHORT TERM PERIOD. THE FRONT WILL MAKE ITS CLOSEST APPROACH ON SUN BEFORE STALLING OVER THE TN AND LOWER MS VALLEYS. THIS MEANS MORE OF THE SAME BEAUTIFUL WEATHER FOR THE FORECAST AREA. DAYTIME HIGHS WILL CLIMB TO THE UPPER 70S AND LOWER 80S AWAY FROM THE COAST OVER THE WEEKEND WITH NIGHTTIME LOWS MODIFYING TO ABOVE NORMAL LEVELS BY SAT NIGHT. AREA BEACHES WILL BE COOLED BY SEA BREEZES WITH HIGHS AROUND 70 OR SO. OUR MAIN FORECAST CONCERN WILL BE LATE NIGHT AND MORNING FOG. WRN AREAS GOT SEVERAL HOURS OF DENSE FOG THIS MORNING AND THE SREF PROBABILITIES AND NAM CONDENSATION PRESSURE DEFICIT CHARTS INDICATE THIS SAME AREA WILL BE FAVORED TONIGHT. FOR SAT NIGHT...WE EXPAND THE FOG AREA FURTHER E IN FL AND SUN NIGHT HAVE FOG FOR MOST OF THE FORECAST AREA. WE GENERALLY USED A GUIDANCE BLEND FOR TEMPS...BUT DID UNDERCUT BY A COUPLE OF DEGREES FOR OUR ERN ZONES FOR TONIGHT BASED ON RECENT MOS PERFORMANCE (TOO MILD)...WHICH TYPICALLY FALTERS A BIT DURING TRANSITION SEASONS.


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