Hazardous Weather Outlook

By: National Weather Service
By: National Weather Service

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
325 AM EST MON FEB 16 2009

ALZ065069-FLZ007019-026029-034-GAZ120131-142148-155161-
GMZ730-750-755-765-770-775-170900-
COFFEE-DALE-HENRY-GENEVA-HOUSTON-INLAND WALTON-COASTAL WALTON-
HOLMES-WASHINGTON-JACKSON-BAY-CALHOUN-GULF-FRANKLIN-GADSDEN-LEON-
JEFFERSON-MADISON-LIBERTY-WAKULLA-TAYLOR-LAFAYETTE-DIXIE-QUITMAN-
CLAY-RANDOLPH-TERRELL-DOUGHERTY-LEE-WORTH-TURNER-TIFT-BEN HILL-
IRWIN-EARLY-MILLER-BAKER-MITCHELL-COLQUITT-COOK-BERRIEN-SEMINOLE-
DECATUR-GRADY-THOMAS-BROOKS-LOWNDES-LANIER-
APALACHEE BAY OR COASTAL WATERS FROM KEATON BEACH TO OCHLOCKONEE
RIVER FL OUT TO 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM OCHLOCKONEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL OUT TO
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SUWANNEE RIVER TO KEATON BEACH OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM SUWANNEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
325 AM EST MON FEB 16 2009 /225 AM CST MON FEB 16 2009/

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
325 AM EST MON FEB 16 2009

ALZ065069-FLZ007019-026029-034-GAZ120131-142148-155161-
GMZ730-750-755-765-770-775-170900-
COFFEE-DALE-HENRY-GENEVA-HOUSTON-INLAND WALTON-COASTAL WALTON-
HOLMES-WASHINGTON-JACKSON-BAY-CALHOUN-GULF-FRANKLIN-GADSDEN-LEON-
JEFFERSON-MADISON-LIBERTY-WAKULLA-TAYLOR-LAFAYETTE-DIXIE-QUITMAN-
CLAY-RANDOLPH-TERRELL-DOUGHERTY-LEE-WORTH-TURNER-TIFT-BEN HILL-
IRWIN-EARLY-MILLER-BAKER-MITCHELL-COLQUITT-COOK-BERRIEN-SEMINOLE-
DECATUR-GRADY-THOMAS-BROOKS-LOWNDES-LANIER-
APALACHEE BAY OR COASTAL WATERS FROM KEATON BEACH TO OCHLOCKONEE
RIVER FL OUT TO 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM OCHLOCKONEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL OUT TO
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SUWANNEE RIVER TO KEATON BEACH OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM SUWANNEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
325 AM EST MON FEB 16 2009 /225 AM CST MON FEB 16 2009/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST ALABAMA...
SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA...AND THE FLORIDA BIG BEND
AND PANHANDLE...AND ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...

ELEVATED NORTHERLY WINDS TO NEAR CAUTIONARY LEVELS AT TIMES WILL
CONTINUE INTO THE EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS. THESE WINDS WILL VEER
AROUND TO THE NORTHEAST TONIGHT.

LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY THIS AFTERNOON IS EXPECTED TO RESULT IN RED
FLAG CONDITIONS BEING MET OVER A LARGE PORTION OF SOUTHEAST
ALABAMA...SOUTHWEST GEORGIA AND NORTHERN FLORIDA. THE LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITY AND NORTHERLY WINDS WILL LIKELY ENHANCE ANY WILDFIRES.

ALTHOUGH WIDESPREAD SUB FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE NOT ANTICIPATED
TONIGHT...THE NORMALLY COLDER LOCATIONS MAY REACH THE LOWER 30S
TOWARD SUNRISE...AND RESULT IN THE FORMATION OF PATCHY FROST AWAY
FROM THE BEACHES.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH MONDAY...

INCREASING SOUTHERLY FLOW DURING THE DAY WEDNESDAY WILL RESULT IN
WINDS AND SEAS REACHING SOLID ADVISORY LEVELS ACROSS THE MARINE
ZONES BY LATE IN THE DAY. THESE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE THROUGH AT LEAST THURSDAY MORNING. WINDS ARE LIKELY TO
REMAIN ELEVATED OUT OF THE NORTHWEST AND NORTH BEHIND THE COLD
FRONT INTO EARLY FRIDAY BEFORE HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE
NORTHERN GULF. THE PASSAGE OF ANOTHER STRONG COLD FRONT LATER
SATURDAY MAY RESULT IN ANOTHER ROUND OF ADVISORY LEVEL NORTHERLY
WINDS FOR THE SECOND HALF OF THE UPCOMING WEEKEND.

A BAND OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IS LIKELY TO CROSS THE
FORECAST AREA LATER WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT
AHEAD OF A STRONG COLD FRONT. THE BEST LARGE SCALE FORCING IS
ANTICIPATED TO REMAIN JUST NORTH OF OUR FORECAST AREA DURING THIS
EVENT...HOWEVER THE KINEMATICS ARE FAIRLY IMPRESSIVE. AS IS OFTEN
THE CASE...THE BIG QUESTION WILL BE THE AMOUNT OF INSTABILITY
PRESENT WITHIN THE WARM SECTOR. EVEN WITH LIMITED INSTABILITY...
THE ENVIRONMENTAL WINDS SHOULD SUPPORT A FEW ORGANIZED UPDRAFTS.
CURRENTLY ANTICIPATING A LIMITED THREAT FOR ISOLATED STRONG TO
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH THIS FRONTAL PASSAGE. MONITOR THE
LATEST FORECASTS OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS IN CASE THE THREAT FROM
THIS SYSTEM BECOMES MORE SIGNIFICANT.

A PERIOD OF ELEVATED SURF BETWEEN 5 AND 7 FEET IS POSSIBLE
LATER WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING ALONG THE EASTERN FLORIDA
PANHANDLE AND FRANKLIN COUNTY BEACHES. THOSE WITH BEACH ACTIVITIES
PLANNED FOR THIS PERIOD SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS FOR ANY
POSSIBLE ADVISORY STATEMENTS.

A LIGHT FREEZE IS POSSIBLE LATE THURSDAY NIGHT...ESPECIALLY NORTH
OF THE FLORIDA BORDER ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST ALABAMA AND
SOUTHERN GEORGIA. HIGH PRESSURE THEN SETTLES OVERHEAD BY FRIDAY
NIGHT PROVIDING A GOOD RADIATIONAL COOLING SETUP...AND A MORE
WIDESPREAD LIGHT FREEZE AWAY FROM THE IMMEDIATE COAST. A SECONDARY
COLD FRONT WILL DELIVER ANOTHER SHOT OF COLD AND DRY AIR FOR THE
END OF THE WEEKEND WITH A LIGHT FREEZE POSSIBLE SUNDAY NIGHT AS
WELL.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH TUESDAY.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
WEBSITE ON THE INTERNET AT WEATHER.GOV...THEN CLICK ON YOUR AREA
OF INTEREST ON THE NATIONAL MAP. .

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...

ELEVATED NORTHERLY WINDS TO NEAR CAUTIONARY LEVELS AT TIMES WILL
CONTINUE INTO THE EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS. THESE WINDS WILL VEER
AROUND TO THE NORTHEAST TONIGHT.

LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY THIS AFTERNOON IS EXPECTED TO RESULT IN RED
FLAG CONDITIONS BEING MET OVER A LARGE PORTION OF SOUTHEAST
ALABAMA...SOUTHWEST GEORGIA AND NORTHERN FLORIDA. THE LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITY AND NORTHERLY WINDS WILL LIKELY ENHANCE ANY WILDFIRES.

ALTHOUGH WIDESPREAD SUB FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE NOT ANTICIPATED
TONIGHT...THE NORMALLY COLDER LOCATIONS MAY REACH THE LOWER 30S
TOWARD SUNRISE...AND RESULT IN THE FORMATION OF PATCHY FROST AWAY
FROM THE BEACHES.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH MONDAY...

INCREASING SOUTHERLY FLOW DURING THE DAY WEDNESDAY WILL RESULT IN
WINDS AND SEAS REACHING SOLID ADVISORY LEVELS ACROSS THE MARINE
ZONES BY LATE IN THE DAY. THESE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE THROUGH AT LEAST THURSDAY MORNING. WINDS ARE LIKELY TO
REMAIN ELEVATED OUT OF THE NORTHWEST AND NORTH BEHIND THE COLD
FRONT INTO EARLY FRIDAY BEFORE HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE
NORTHERN GULF. THE PASSAGE OF ANOTHER STRONG COLD FRONT LATER
SATURDAY MAY RESULT IN ANOTHER ROUND OF ADVISORY LEVEL NORTHERLY
WINDS FOR THE SECOND HALF OF THE UPCOMING WEEKEND.

A BAND OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IS LIKELY TO CROSS THE
FORECAST AREA LATER WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT
AHEAD OF A STRONG COLD FRONT. THE BEST LARGE SCALE FORCING IS
ANTICIPATED TO REMAIN JUST NORTH OF OUR FORECAST AREA DURING THIS
EVENT...HOWEVER THE KINEMATICS ARE FAIRLY IMPRESSIVE. AS IS OFTEN
THE CASE...THE BIG QUESTION WILL BE THE AMOUNT OF INSTABILITY
PRESENT WITHIN THE WARM SECTOR. EVEN WITH LIMITED INSTABILITY...
THE ENVIRONMENTAL WINDS SHOULD SUPPORT A FEW ORGANIZED UPDRAFTS.
CURRENTLY ANTICIPATING A LIMITED THREAT FOR ISOLATED STRONG TO
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH THIS FRONTAL PASSAGE. MONITOR THE
LATEST FORECASTS OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS IN CASE THE THREAT FROM
THIS SYSTEM BECOMES MORE SIGNIFICANT.

A PERIOD OF ELEVATED SURF BETWEEN 5 AND 7 FEET IS POSSIBLE
LATER WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING ALONG THE EASTERN FLORIDA
PANHANDLE AND FRANKLIN COUNTY BEACHES. THOSE WITH BEACH ACTIVITIES
PLANNED FOR THIS PERIOD SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS FOR ANY
POSSIBLE ADVISORY STATEMENTS.

A LIGHT FREEZE IS POSSIBLE LATE THURSDAY NIGHT...ESPECIALLY NORTH
OF THE FLORIDA BORDER ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST ALABAMA AND
SOUTHERN GEORGIA. HIGH PRESSURE THEN SETTLES OVERHEAD BY FRIDAY
NIGHT PROVIDING A GOOD RADIATIONAL COOLING SETUP...AND A MORE
WIDESPREAD LIGHT FREEZE AWAY FROM THE IMMEDIATE COAST. A SECONDARY
COLD FRONT WILL DELIVER ANOTHER SHOT OF COLD AND DRY AIR FOR THE
END OF THE WEEKEND WITH A LIGHT FREEZE POSSIBLE SUNDAY NIGHT AS
WELL.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH TUESDAY.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
WEBSITE ON THE INTERNET AT WEATHER.GOV...THEN CLICK ON YOUR AREA
OF INTEREST ON THE NATIONAL MAP.


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