Sunday through Thursday Forecast

By: NWS
By: NWS

ALTHOUGH THERE IS STILL QUITE A BIT OF UNCERTAINTY AND LACK OF MODEL RUN TO RUN CONTINUITY IN THE EXTENDED PERIOD...CONFIDENCE IS STILL HIGH THAT WE WILL BE IN STORE FOR A GENERALLY COLD AND DRY PATTERN FOR THE MAJORITY OF THE PERIOD...AS THE MEAN UPPER LEVEL TROF WILL REMAIN ENTRENCHED OVER THE EASTERN U.S.. EXACTLY HOW COLD WILL IT GET AND WHICH DAYS WILL BE THE COLDEST IS STILL SOMEWHAT IN QUESTION...BUT WOULD NOT BE SURPRISED TO SEE AT LEAST A WIDESPREAD LIGHT FREEZE ON WED AND THU MORNINGS. WILL HOLD OFF ON ANY HARD FREEZE TEMPS FOR AT LEAST ANOTHER MODEL CYCLE OR TWO...UNTIL THE TIMING AND MODEL CONSISTENCY SUFFICIENTLY IMPROVES. ALSO...AFTER THE 1ST IN THE SERIES OF COLD FRONTS EXITS THE AREA ON SUNDAY MORNING (WHICH THE GFS AND ECMWF ARE BECOMING INCREASINGLY IN BETTER AGREEMENT WITH TIME)...EXPECT A VIRTUALLY POP FREE FCST FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD.


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