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Friday through Sunday Discussion

By: NWS
By: NWS

SHORT TERM...THE SHORTWAVE UPPER LEVEL RIDGING EXTENDING NORTHWARD FROM THE GULF OF MEXICO INTO THE SE U.S. WILL CONTINUE TO COMBINE WITH THE WEAK SFC RIDGE NOW CENTERED OVER SOUTHERN GA TO PROVIDE OUR AREA WITH ONE MORE WARM AND GENERALLY DRY DAY ACROSS THE CWA ON FRIDAY...BEFORE THE NEXT COLD FRONT PUTS AN END TO THE CURRENT SYNOPTIC PATTERN. ALTHOUGH A FEW DAYS AGO (DURING MY LAST SHIFT) IT APPEARED THAT THIS COLD FRONT MIGHT PUSH QUICKLY THROUGH THE CWA ON FRIDAY...IT IS NOW FAIRLY CLEAR THAT THE CUTOFF UPPER LOW OVER THE MID ATLANTIC WILL RETARD ITS EASTWARD PROGRESS JUST ENOUGH TO DELAY THE FRONTAL PASSAGE UNTIL FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY MORNING. ALTHOUGH THERE WILL LIKELY BE ENOUGH SFC HEATING...INSTABILITY...AND UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT FOR SCT TSTMS TO OUR WEST ON FRIDAY...ALL INDICATIONS IN THE GFS AND SREF MEMBERS ARE POINTING TO QUICKLY SQUELCH THESE PROBABILITIES AS THE FRONT NEARS OUR CWA. WITH VERY LITTLE CAPE AND LI`S PROGGED TO QUICKLY RISE TO POSITIVE VALUES AS ANY DAYTIME HEATING COMES TO AN END...WILL STICK WITH SCT SHOWERS ACROSS OUR AREA. BEHIND THE COLD FRONT...EXPECT COOLER AND DRIER AIR TO BUILD IN FOR MUCH OF THE UPCOMING WEEKEND...WITH HIGH TEMPS RETURNING TO NEAR OR JUST BELOW CLIMO LEVELS...BUT LOWS ON SUNDAY WILL BE NOTICEABLY COOLER...AND MAY REACH THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 40S OVER A GOOD PORTION OF THE INTERIOR.


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