Long Term Forecast Discussion

By: NWS
By: NWS

THE AXIS OF A DEEPENING MID/UPPER TROUGH WILL SWING ACROSS THE TRI-STATE REGION FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. AS THE TROUGH MOVES OFF THE EAST COAST, THE FLOW BECOMES ZONAL ON SUNDAY AND THEN BACKS TO THE SOUTHWEST MONDAY AS
THE NEXT SHORT WAVE MOVES INTO THE LOWER MS VALLEY. THIS SHORT WAVE IS FORECAST TO DAMPEN OUT AS THE ENERGY MOVES INTO THE MID-ATLANTIC STATES TUESDAY MAINTAINING SOUTHWEST FLOW OVER THE SOUTHEAST CORNER OF THE U.S. AT THE SURFACE, A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH FROM WEST TO EAST
ACROSS OUR CWA FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND NIGHT. THE FRONT WILL BE WEAKENING AND DUE TO ITS LATE TIMING, LOCATIONS LUCKY ENOUGH TO RECEIVE RAIN MAY AT BEST GET ONE-TENTH OF AN INCH. WILL KEEP POPS IN THE MID CHANCE CATEGORY WHICH IS ALSO SUPPORTED BY GFSX MOS GUIDANCE. THE WEEKEND THROUGH MONDAY WILL BE DRY WITH MIN TEMPS
COOLING GENERALLY INTO THE LOWER-MID 40S FOR INLAND LOCATIONS. MAX TEMPS WILL UNDER FULL SUN SHOULD CONTINUE AT OR JUST ABOVE SEASONAL NORMALS. ANOTHER COLD FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THE AFOREMENTIONED SECOND SHORT WAVE WILL BRING ANOTHER CHANCE OF RAIN LATE TUESDAY.


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