Short Term Discussion

By: nws.com
By: nws.com

TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY) A DEEP LAYER...EAST-WEST ORIENTED RIDGE
AXIS WILL REMAIN JUST NORTH OF OUR FORECAST AREA THROUGH THIS
PERIOD. THE GLOBAL MODELS FORECAST WEAK Q-G FORCING OVER OUR AREA IN
ASSOCIATION WITH THE WEAK SHORT WAVE ALOFT. ALTHOUGH THE DEEP LAYER
MOISTURE WILL BE LIMITED...THERE MAY BE JUST ENOUGH MOISTURE AND
WEAK LARGE SCALE ASCENT FOR THE FL/GA EAST COAST SEA BREEZE FRONT
(AND ANY OTHER MESOSCALE BOUNDARIES) TO TRIGGER ISOLATED SHOWERS OR
THUNDERSTORMS TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY
EVENING HOURS. THE HIGHEST RAIN CHANCES (ONLY 30 PERCENT) WILL BE
AROUND THE CROSS CITY FL AREA. THERE IS GOOD AGREEMENT AMONG THE
LATEST MOS AND BIAS-CORRECTED MODEL TEMPERATURE FORECASTS THAT A
SLIGHT COOLING TREND WILL BEGIN TODAY...WITH HIGHS "ONLY" IN THE MID
90S (AS OPPOSED TO UPPER 90S AT SOME SITES MONDAY). HIGHS WILL BE IN
THE LOWER 90S BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON (STILL ABOVE CLIMATOLOGY). LOWS
WILL BE A FEW DEGREES ABOVE AVERAGE.


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