Hurricane Karl Weakening Over Southeastern Mexico

...Karl Moving Farther Inland Over Southeastern Mexico...Expected To
Weaken Faster...

The Associated Press
Fishermen try to secure their boats as tropical storm Karl arrives in the town of Mahahual, southern Mexico, on Wednesday. Karl is expected to quickly weaken into a tropical depression as it slogs across the flat peninsula before heading back out over the Gulf of Mexico, where it could turn into a hurricane by the end of the week and threaten the central Mexican coast.

Hurricane Karl Advisory Number 14
Nws Tpc/National Hurricane Center Miami Fl Al132010
400 Pm Cdt Fri Sep 17 2010

...Karl Moving Farther Inland Over Southeastern Mexico...Expected To
Weaken Faster...

Summary Of 400 Pm Cdt...2100 Utc...Information
----------------------------------------------
Location...19.1n 96.6w
About 25 Mi...45 Km Wsw Of Veracruz Mexico
Maximum Sustained Winds...90 Mph...150 Km/Hr
Present Movement...Wsw Or 250 Degrees At 9 Mph...15 Km/Hr
Minimum Central Pressure...985 Mb...29.09 Inches

Watches And Warnings
--------------------
Changes With This Advisory...

The Government Of Mexico Has Discontinued All Coastal Watches And
Warnings.

Summary Of Watches And Warnings In Effect...

There Are No Coastal Watches Or Warnings In Effect.

For Storm Information Specific To Your Area Outside...Please Monitor
Products Issued By Your National Meteorological Service.

Discussion And 48-Hour Outlook
------------------------------
At 400 Pm Cdt...2100 Utc...The Center Of Hurricane Karl Was Located
Near Latitude 19.1 North...Longitude 96.6 West. Karl Is Moving
Toward The West-Southwest Near 9 Mph...15 Km/Hr...And A Motion
Toward The West-Southwest Or West Is Expected During The Next
48 Hours. On The Forecast Track...The Center Of Karl Should Move
Farther Inland Over Southeastern Mexico Tonight.

Maximum Sustained Winds Have Decreased Near 90 Mph...150 Km/Hr...
With Higher Gusts...Over A Small Area Near The Center. Karl Is Now
A Category One Hurricane On The Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind
Scale. Additional Weakening Is Forecast...With Karl Expected To
Weaken To A Tropical Depression On Saturday And Dissipate Over The
Mountains Of Mexico On Sunday.

Hurricane Force Winds Extend Outward Up To 15 Miles...30 Km...From
The Center...And Tropical Storm Force Winds Extend Outward Up To
80 Miles...130 Km.

Estimated Minimum Central Pressure Is 985 Mb...29.09 Inches.

Hazards Affecting Land
----------------------
Storm Surge...Storm Surge Along The Gulf Coast Of Mexico Should
Subside Tonight And Saturday As The Center Of Karl Moves Farther
Inland. Near The Coast...The Surge Will Be Accompanied By Large
And Destructive Waves.

Wind...Hurricane-Force Winds Are Occurring In A Small Area Near The
Center. These Winds Will Continue To Spread Inland Along The Track
Of The Center Tonight. Wind Speeds Atop And On The Windward
Sides Of Hills And Mountains Are Often Up To 30 Percent Stronger
Than Indicated In This Advisory...And In Some Elevated Locations
Can Be Even Greater.

Rainfall...Karl Is Expected To Produce Rainfall Accumulations Of 5
To 10 Inches Across The Central And Southern Mexican Gulf Coast
Region...With Isolated Amounts Of 15 Inches Possible In The
Interior Mountains. These Rains Could Cause Life-Threatening Flash
Floods And Mud Slides.

Next Advisory
-------------
Next Intermediate Advisory...700 Pm Cdt.
Next Complete Advisory...1000 Pm Cdt.

Forecaster Beven

Hurricane Karl Discussion Number 14
Nws Tpc/National Hurricane Center Miami Fl Al132010
400 Pm Cdt Fri Sep 17 2010

Karl Made Landfall Just North-Northwest Of Veracruz Mexico At
About 1630z. Before Landfall...The Central Pressure Rapidly Rose
From 957 Mb To 976 Mb Over A 4.5 Hour Period For Reasons That Are
Not Readily Apparent. Despite This...The Aircraft-Reported Winds
Supported Major Hurricane Intensity Until Landfall. Since Landfall
The Hurricane Has Steadily Weakened...And The Initial Intensity Of
80 Kt May Be A Bit Generous. Karl Should Continue To Weaken As It
Moves Over The Mountains Of Mexico...And The Cyclone Is Likely To
Dissipate Completely By 48 Hr.

The Initial Motion Is 250/8. A Mid-Level Ridge Over Northern Mexico
Should Continue To Steer Karl Toward The West-Southwest Or West
Until Dissipation.

Forecast Positions And Max Winds

Initial 17/2100z 19.1n 96.6w 80 Kt...Inland
12hr Vt 18/0600z 18.8n 97.7w 50 Kt...Inland
24hr Vt 18/1800z 18.7n 99.1w 30 Kt...Inland
36hr Vt 19/0600z 18.7n 100.6w 25 Kt...Inland
48hr Vt 19/1800z...Dissipated

Forecaster Beven


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