Weather AL/FL/GA Outlook Sep 16 Afternoon

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tallahassee Fl
400 Pm Edt Thu Sep 16 2010

Synopsis...
Radars Across The Region Appear To Be Relatively Quiet...With A
Little Convection East Of The Cwa Due To The East Coast Sea
Breeze. At This Point In The Afternoon...It Does Not Appear That
The East Coast Sea Breeze Will Have Enough Time To Our
Area And Set Off Any Evening Showers. Vis Satellite Also Not
Showing Much Around The Region Due To The Dry Air...With The
Exception Of Some Lingering Moisture Near The Coastline Resulting
In A Weak Cu Field In That Area And In The Ern Part Of The Region.
Relatively Drier Air Can Be Seen On The Sounding This Morning At
Ktlh With A Pwat Of 1.11 Inches...Which Is Suppressing Any
Convection This Afternoon Along With The High Temps. Temps Across
The Region Are Pushing Ever So Slightly Into The Low 90s...And
Should Fall Into The Upper 60s In The Overnight Hours.

Short Term (Tonight Through Sat)...
A Ridge Of High Pressure Will Continue To Dominate The Weather
Through Saturday...Keeping Us Relatively Dry For The Remainder Of
The Week And Weekend. In The Overnight Hours Tonight And Friday
Night...There Is A Slight Chance For Showers Over The Coastal
Waters...While Remaining Clear And Dry Inland. Pops On Friday And
Saturday Afternoon Will Be Non-Existent Over Much Of The Interior
Portion Of The Cwa...However Late In The Afternoon There Is The
Potential For Scattered Showers In The Ern Portion Of The Cwa If
The East Coast Sea Breeze Manages To Progress This Far West. High
Temps Will Continue This Slight Upward Trend Through The Weekend...
Reaching The Mid 90s Across Sern Al And Mid To Low 90s Across Much
Of The Rest Of The Region By Saturday Afternoon. Low Temps In The
Overnight Hours Both Tonight And Friday Will Dip Into The Low 60s
Once Again.

.Long Term (Sat Night Through Next Thu)...
Virtually No Change In Thinking From Last Night`S Discussion...As
The Upper Level Ridge Which Has Been So Dominant Throughout This
Particular Summer Will Continue To Be So Throughout The Upcoming
Period. This Will Keep Conditions Hot And Fairly Humid For This
Time Of Year With Both Highs And Lows Averaging Above Climo Values With The More Pronounced Departures Expected To Be With The
Afternoon Highs. Also...This Pattern Favors The Continuation Of
The Recent Very Dry Pattern In Terms Of Precipitation...So See No
Reason At This Time To Introduce Anything Above Silent 10 Pops
Through The Entire Extended Fcst.

Aviation...
Vfr Conditions Will Prevail Through The Evening Hours
And Into Most Of The Overnight. Sct Cu Field With Bases Above 5kft
Into The Early Evening Will Dissipate With The Setting Of The Sun
Leaving Mostly Clear Skies Region-Wide. May See A Brief Period Of
Mvfr Ground Fog At Any Of The Terminals Around Sunrise...With Kvld
Having The Greatest Chance At This Brief Restriction. Any Vis
Restrictions Early In The Morning Will Be Gone By 13z With Vfr
Conditions Then Prevailing Through Friday Afternoon.

Marine...
Seas Out At The Buoys Are Currently 3-5 Feet With Winds Out Of The
East At 12-16 Kts. Seas Have Been Slowly Dropping Through The
Afternoon And Will Continue This Slow Downward Trend Into The
Evening. A Nocturnal Easterly Surge Is Not Anticipated This
Evening...However Winds Will Still Be 10 To 15 Knots In The
Western Legs Of The Coastal Waters. As Sfc High Pressure Continues
To Slide Eastward Across The Sern Conus...The Pressure Gradient
Will Continue To Weaken...Thus Allowing For Seas To Relax By The
Beginning Of The Weekend.

Fire Weather...
Dry Conditions Will Continue Through Early Next Week. Relative
Humidity Values Are Forecast To Remain Just Above Watch Or Warning
Criteria Each Day.

Preliminary Point Temps/Pops...
Tallahassee 68 92 70 94 69 / 0 10 0 0 10
Panama City 73 91 73 92 73 / 0 10 0 10 10
Dothan 66 94 68 95 67 / 0 0 0 0 10
Albany 67 93 68 93 68 / 0 0 0 0 10
Valdosta 67 91 66 92 66 / 0 0 0 0 10
Cross City 68 92 69 91 66 / 10 20 0 10 10
Apalachicola 73 89 74 90 73 / 10 10 10 10 10

TLH Watches/Warnings/Advisories...

Al...None.

Ga...None.

Fl...None.

Gm...None.


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