Short Term Discussion

By: NWS
By: NWS

SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT)...
TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY...UPPER RIDGING WILL REMAIN OVERHEAD
WHILE THE SURFACE RIDGE SLIDES EAST...BUT REMAINS IN CONTROL OF THE
REGION. MID-LEVEL ARE TO REMAIN DRY...AND HOSTILE TO DEEP CONVECTIVE
DEVELOPMENT. THEREFORE THE FORECAST WILL REMAIN GENERALLY DRY WITH
HIGH TEMPERATURES A FEW DEGREES ABOVE AVERAGE...INTO THE LOWER 90S.
DUE TO THE EASTERLY FLOW...WILL LIKELY EXPERIENCE A SURGE OF WIND
OVER THE COASTAL WATERS OVERNIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING.
THEREFORE...SHOULD BE ON THE BREEZY SIDE DURING THE MORNING HOURS
ALONG MAINLY THE FRANKLIN COUNTY COAST. ALSO LOW LEVEL SPEED
CONVERGENCE NEAR THE COAST OF FRANKLIN/GULF COUNTY MAY RESULT IN A
FEW WIDELY SCT LOW TOPPED SHOWERS DURING THE LATE NIGHT/EARLY
MORNING HOURS. HAVE ADDED A SLIGHT 20% POP FOR THESE AREAS DURING
THE FEW HOURS SURROUNDING SUNRISE.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...BENIGN WEATHER PATTERN TO
CONTINUE. UPPER RIDGING WILL NOT MOVE MUCH INTO THE LATER PORTION OF
THE WORK WEEK WHICH WILL HOLD ANY ACTIVE WEATHER WELL TO OUR NORTH.
SURFACE HIGH WILL TRANSITION OFF THE ATLANTIC SEABOARD...BUT
CONTINUE TO RIDGE BACK INTO THE SOUTHEASTERN STATES WITH A GENERAL
EASTERLY LOW LEVEL FLOW. GUIDANCE DOES INDICATE THAT THE STRENGTH OF
THE OVERHEAD RIDGE MAY NOT BE QUITE AS STRONG BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON
ALLOWING FOR LESS OVERALL SUPPRESSION. IF THIS PATTERN DOES PREVAIL
THEN A FEW LATE DAY SHOWERS WILL NOT BE OUT OF THE QUESTION NEAR THE
SUWANNEE RIVER VALLEY ASSOCIATED WITH THE ARRIVAL OF THE EAST COAST
SEA-BREEZE. OTHERWISE THE FORECAST IS DRY WITH TEMPERATURES NEAR OR
SLIGHTLY ABOVE AVERAGE DURING THE DAY AND A BIT BELOW AVERAGE FOR
OVERNIGHT LOWS.


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