Long Term Discussion

By: NWS
By: NWS

LONG TERM (MONDAY THROUGH NEXT FRIDAY)...
BOTH THE 12Z EURO AND 00Z GFS SHOW AN UPPER LOW CLOSING OFF ACROSS
NEW YORK SUNDAY NIGHT AND DROPPING SOUTH OVER OR JUST EAST OF THE
MID ATLANTIC STATES EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH THE ASSOCIATED TROUGH
POSITIONED ALONG THE EASTERN SEABOARD. THE UPPER LOW IS FORECAST
TO WEAKEN INTO AN OPEN WAVE BY MID WEEK AND LIFT RAPIDLY TO THE
NORTHEAST ALLOWING RIDGING TO BUILD BACK IN OVER THE LOCAL REGION.
TIME HEIGHT CROSS SECTIONS SHOW A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT CONDUCIVE
FOR WIDESPREAD CONVECTION FOR MONDAY AND TUESDAY. THEN...A
SIGNIFICANT DECREASE IN ATMOSPHERIC MOISTURE ABOVE 850MB BEGINS
WEDNESDAY AND CONTINUES THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WORK WEEK.
WILL MAINTAIN ABOVE SEASONAL LEVEL POPS MONDAY AND TUESDAY AND
THEN GRADUALLY TREND DOWN TO LOWER END CHANCE ACROSS THE CWA FOR
THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. MAX TEMPERATURES WILL BE IN THE LOWER TO MID
90S AND MIN TEMPS WILL BE IN THE LOWER TO MID 70S.


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