Long Term Forecast

By: NWS
By: NWS

LONG TERM (SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT FRIDAY)...BOTH THE 12Z EURO
AND 00Z GFS SHOW AN UPPER LOW CLOSING OFF ACROSS NEW YORK SUNDAY
NIGHT AND DROPPING SOUTH OVER OR JUST EAST OF THE MID ATLANTIC
STATES EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH THE ASSOCIATED TROUGH POSITIONED ALONG
THE EASTERN SEABOARD. THE UPPER LOW IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN INTO AN
OPEN WAVE BY MID WEEK AND LIFT RAPIDLY TO THE NORTHEAST ALLOWING
RIDGING TO BUILD BACK IN OVER THE LOCAL REGION. TIME HEIGHT CROSS
SECTIONS SHOW A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT CONDUCIVE FOR WIDESPREAD
CONVECTION FOR MONDAY AND TUESDAY. THEN...A SIGNIFICANT DECREASE IN
ATMOSPHERIC MOISTURE ABOVE 850MB BEGINS WEDNESDAY AND CONTINUES
THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WORK WEEK. WILL MAINTAIN ABOVE SEASONAL
LEVEL POPS MONDAY AND TUESDAY AND THEN GRADUALLY TREND DOWN TO LOWER
END CHANCE ACROSS THE CWA FOR THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. MAX TEMPERATURES
WILL BE IN THE LOWER TO MID 90S AND MIN TEMPS WILL BE IN THE LOWER
TO MID 70S.


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