Long Term Weather

By: NWS
By: NWS

.LONG TERM (FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT WEDNESDAY)...BOTH THE 12Z
ECMWF AND THE 00Z GFS INDICATE AN AMPLIFYING TROUGH ALONG THE
EASTERN SEABOARD WITH AN UPPER LOW CLOSING OFF OVER OR JUST SOUTH OF
NEW ENGLAND EARLY NEXT WEEK. BOTH MODELS ALSO SHOW A SURFACE LOW
DEVELOPING EAST OF THE MID ATLANTIC STATES DURING THE TIME.
HOWEVER...THE EURO SHOWS THE STACKED LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM
RETROGRADING AND MOVING ONSHORE OVER THE DELMARVA PENINSULA BY LATE
WEDNESDAY. THE GFS SOLUTION TRACKS BOTH SURFACE AND UPPER LOW OUT
INTO THE OPEN ATLANTIC. EITHER WAY...BOTH SOLUTIONS DRIVE A SURFACE
FRONT DOWN INTO OUR CWA. THE GFS DEVELOPS A WAVE ON THE FRONT IN THE
FLORIDA PANHANDLE LATE IN THE WEEKEND AND SLOWLY DRIFTS SOUTH THEN
WEST EARLY NEXT WEEK. THIS COUPLED WITH DEEP LAYER MOISTURE...
DAYTIME HEATING AND DECENT SHORT WAVE ENERGY OVER THE REGION WILL
KEEP US IN AN UNSETTLED WEATHER PATTERN. LOOK FOR ABOVE SEASONAL
CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EACH DAY. TEMPERATURES WILL BE
AT OR JUST UNDER CLIMO.


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