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Long Term Forecast

By: NWS
By: NWS

LONG TERM (FRIDAY THROUGH NEXT TUESDAY)...
LARGE SCALE UPPER LEVEL PATTERN WILL MAINTAIN MEAN TROUGH POSITIONS
ALONG THE WEST COAST AND OVER THE NORTHEAST U.S. INTO THE FIRST OF
NEXT WEEK. ONE SHORT WAVE WILL DROP INTO THE MEAN TROUGH OVER THE
NORTHEAST LATE THURSDAY AND FRIDAY...FOLLOWED BY A MUCH MORE
VIGOROUS SHORT WAVE ON SUNDAY. THE EURO IS MORE AGGRESSIVE WITH THE
AMPLITUDE OF THIS SECOND SYSTEM. WILL BASICALLY USE A BLEND OF THE
GFS AND EURO WEIGHTED A BIT TOWARD THE SLIGHTLY LESS AGGRESSIVE
GFS...BASED ON PAST PERFORMANCE AND THE TIME OF YEAR. THUS EXPECT A
COLD FRONT TO PUSH INTO THE SOUTHEAST ON SUNDAY...THEN STALL
SOMEWHERE ACROSS THE AREA ON MONDAY. AMPLE LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL
REMAIN ACROSS THE AREA THIS WEEK TO PRODUCE DAILY AFTERNOON AND
EVENING THUNDERSTORMS...DRIVEN BY THE SEABREEZE AND STRONG DAYTIME
HEATING...WITH THE FRONT PROVIDING AN ADDITIONAL FOCUSING MECHANISM
FOR CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY ON THE WEEKEND. WILL KEEP POPS A LITTLE
ABOVE NORMAL AND TEMPERATURES NEAR OR SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH
THE FIRST OF NEXT WEEK.


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