Long Term Discussion

By: NWS
By: NWS

LONG TERM (THURSDAY THROUGH NEXT MONDAY)...THE LARGE SCALE PATTERN
ACROSS THE CONUS THIS WEEK WILL FEATURE MEAN TROUGHS ALONG THE WEST
COAST AND OVER THE NORTHEAST...AND THE PATTERN IS FORECAST TO BEGIN
TO AMPLIFY SIGNIFICANTLY TOWARD THE END OF THE WEEK. BY THE
WEEKEND...WEAK RIDGING OVER THE SOUTHEAST WILL BEGIN TO BREAK
DOWN...AS A STRONG SHORT WAVE DROPS INTO THE MEAN TROF OVER THE
EASTERN U.S. AMPLE LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE
TRI-STATE REGION FOR SCATTERED AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS DRIVEN
PRIMARILY BY STRONG HEATING AND THE SEABREEZE. OVER THE
WEEKEND...THE AMPLIFYING TROUGH WILL PROVIDE ENOUGH SUPPORT TO PUSH
A WEAKENING COLD FRONT INTO THE SOUTHEAST...WHICH COULD PROVIDE A
FOCUS FOR INCREASED SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY BY THE FIRST OF
NEXT WEEK. WILL GO WITH A BLEND OF THE GFS AND EURO...AND SHOW POPS
LOWERING TO NEAR NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR...WITH TEMPERATURES
REMAINING GENERALLY A LITTLE ABOVE NORMAL.


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