Short Term Discussion

By: NWS
By: NWS

SURFACE LOW WILL CONTINUE
TO MOVE WESTWARD OVERNIGHT TAKING THE BEST CHANCE FOR SHOWERS WITH
IT. ENHANCED COASTAL CONVERGENCE UNDER SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL PROVIDE A
SLIGHT CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM ALONG THE
COAST BY MORNING. SOME MID LEVEL DRYING IS FORECAST FOR OUR CENTRAL
AND WESTERN LOCATIONS TOMORROW WHICH MAY HELP TO SUPPRESS CONVECTIVE
ACTIVITY. HOWEVER...SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW WILL STILL PROMOTE SHOWERS
AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ALONG OUR EASTERN ZONES WHERE DEEP LAYER
MOISTURE WILL BE MORE PLENTIFUL. LIGHT SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW WILL TAKE
OVER ON WEDNESDAY AS THE GRADIENT WEAKENS BETWEEN THE DEPARTING LOW
AND BUILDING SURFACE RIDGE. THIS FLOW REGIME WILL PROMOTE SHOWER AND
THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT ACROSS THE BIG BEND WATERS AND ALONG THE
COAST IN THE MORNING...SPREADING INLAND IN THE AFTERNOON. MOST OF
THE SHOWER ACTIVITY WILL REMAIN CONFINED TO NORTH FLORIDA ON
WEDNESDAY. SHOWERS WILL DISSIPATE A FEW HOURS AFTER SUNSET ON
WEDNESDAY.

MAX TEMPS WILL BE IN THE LOW TO MID 90S THROUGH THE FIRST PART OF
THE WEEK. HOWEVER...WITH PLENTIFUL MOISTURE...HEAT INDICIES ARE
FORECAST TO BE BETWEEN 100 AND 105 DEGREES EACH DAY. OVERNIGHT LOWS
ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN IN THE MID 70S.


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