Gulf Forecast Discussion

By: NWS
By: NWS

WITH A VERY WEAK SURFACE LOW ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS
OF TD 5...CONDITIONS OVER THE MARINE AREA HAVE REMAINED LOW...ALL
THINGS CONSIDERED. STILL ONLY SEEING 15 KNOTS OR SO IN THE MARINE
AREA...THOUGH WINDS WILL BE BRIEFLY STRONGER NEAR ANY SHOWERS.
CURRENT OBSERVATIONS ARE MORE IN LINE WITH THE NAM...WHICH SHOWS
WINDS UP TO 15 KNOTS. GIVEN THE CURRENT OBSERVATIONS AND THE NAM
MODEL FIELDS...IT`S TOUGH TO JUSTIFY LEAVING THE EXERCISE CAUTION
HEADLINE IN THE FORECAST...THUS WILL LIKELY UPDATE THE FORECAST
LATER THIS EVENING TO SHOW WINDS AROUND 15 KNOTS ACROSS THE WESTERN
LEGS WITH SEAS NO HIGHER THAN 4 FEET.


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