Short Term Discussion

By: NWS
By: NWS

TUESDAY...UPPER LEVEL TUTT LOW CURRENTLY OVER THE FLORIDA EAST COAST
WILL CONTINUE TO PROGRESS WESTWARD OVER THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO.
UNDERNEATH THIS FEATURE (AND TO OUR SOUTH)...MODEL SUITE CONTINUES
TO ADVERTISE A DISORGANIZED AREA OF LOW PRESSURE. AT LEAST THROUGH
TUESDAY...THE MAIN INFLUENCE OF THIS FEATURE WILL BE TO BRING A SLOW
INCREASE IN WINDS OVER THE COASTAL WATERS. ALSO...GFS/ECMWF/LOCAL
WRF ARW INDICATE THAT A MODEST INCREASE IN MID-LEVEL MOISTURE WILL
BE WORKING NORTHWARD AROUND THE UPPER LOW INTO THE FLORIDA BIG BEND
BY THE END OF THE DAY. THE INCREASE IN MOISTURE SHOULD PROVIDE A BIT
BETTER CHANCE AT SHOWERS AND STORMS INTO BIG BEND AND EXTREME
SOUTHERN GA ZONES. CURRENT GRIDS SHOWING 30-40% COVERAGE OVER THESE
AREAS AND SEE LITTLE NEED FOR ADJUSTMENT AT THIS TIME. FURTHER NORTH
AND WEST TOWARD DOTHAN/ALBANY...THE DRIER AIR SHOULD HOLD ON THROUGH
PEAK DIURNAL HEATING AND KEEP MUCH OF THE TYPICAL CONVECTION
SUPPRESSED.


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