Long Term Forecast

By: NWS
By: NWS

.LONG TERM (THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY)...
THE MAIN QUESTION IN THE EARLY PART OF THE EXTENDED PERIOD IS THE
EVOLUTION OF THE WEAK AREA OF LOW PRESSURE OFF THE EAST COAST OF
FLORIDA. BOTH THE 00Z EURO AND GFS ARE IN AGREEMENT THAT THIS
FEATURE WILL MOVE WESTWARD AND BE LOCATED JUST OFFSHORE OF LOUISIANA
BY THURSDAY. NEITHER MODEL STRENGTHENS THIS FEATURE VERY MUCH...BUT
THE SOUTHERLY FLOW AROUND IT WILL LIKELY KEEP ENOUGH MOISTURE AROUND
FOR SCATTERED CONVECTION ACROSS THE AREA. BEYOND THURSDAY BOTH
MODELS SHOW THIS SYSTEM MOVING INLAND NEAR THE TX/LA BORDER AND
BECOMING VERY DIFFUSE AND HARD TO TRACK. AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL
CONTINUE TO BE OUR DOMINANT FEATURE THROUGH THE EXTENDED WITH ABOVE
NORMAL TEMPERATURES CONTINUING. MAX DAILY HEAT INDICES MAY GRADUALLY
CREEP UP TOWARDS THE 110 DEGREE LEVEL ON OCCASION AS WE HEAD INTO
NEXT WEEKEND. SCATTERED AFTERNOON CONVECTION IS EXPECTED EACH DAY AS
IS TYPICAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR.


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