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Short Term Forecast

By: NWS
By: NWS

.SHORT TERM (TODAY-WEDNESDAY)...
INCREASING UPPER HEIGHTS COMBINED WITH PLENTY OF MID TO UPPER DRY
AIR WILL LEAD TO MORE OF A SUPPRESSED ENVIRONMENT TODAY AND TONIGHT.
THE BEST RAIN CHANCES WILL REMAIN SOUTH OF THE AREA OUT ACROSS THE
NORTHERN GULF WATERS CLOSER TO THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY THAT MOVED
THROUGH THE AREA OVER THE PAST COUPLE OF DAYS. MODEL SOUNDINGS SHOW
PWAT VALUES DROPPING FROM THE CURRENT 2 INCHES TO AROUND 1.3 INCHES
LATER THIS EVENING. ALTHOUGH THIS SUPPRESSED ENVIRONMENT WILL LEAD
TO REDUCED CLOUD COVERAGE AND RAIN CHANCES...AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES
WILL RETURN TO THE UPPER 90S ACROSS THE INLAND LOCATIONS THIS
AFTERNOON. FORTUNATELY...THE DRIER AIR WILL KEEP HEAT INDICES BELOW
ADVISORY LEVELS THROUGH THIS PERIOD.

TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...THE MAIN AREA OF INTEREST WILL REMAIN ON
AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE THAT IS PROGGED TO TRACK WEST OVER THE FL
PENINSULA EARLY TUESDAY MORNING...OUT ACROSS THE EASTERN GULF SOUTH
OF OUR MARINE AREA THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...THEN NORTHWEST TOWARD THE
CENTRAL GULF COAST STATES THROUGH THE DAY WEDNESDAY. WITH ITS
POSITION RELATIVE TO THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE NORTH OF IT AND THE TUTT
CELL...DEVELOPMENT WILL BE HARD TO COME BY. OUTSIDE OF A FEW
OUTLIERS...THE MODELS REFLECT THIS QUITE WELL AND GENERALLY INDICATE
A WEAK LOW PASSING SOUTH OF THE AREA THROUGH THIS TIME. THE MAIN
IMPACT RELATIVE TO OUR LOCAL AREA WILL BE INCREASING DEEP LAYER
MOISTURE AND RAIN CHANCES ACROSS THE FLORIDA BIG BEND/PANHANDLE AND
THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS. WINDS MAY REACH" onClick="return popup(this, 'notes')">REACH CAUTIONARY TO SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY LEVELS OUT OVER THE MARINE AREA FOR A BRIEF PERIOD OR
TWO.


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