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Short Term Discussion

By: NWS
By: NWS

SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY)...
THE UPPER RIDGE HAS FLATTENED ACROSS THE REGION AND MODELS SHOW THAT
IT WILL BREAK DOWN AS A TROUGH DIGS DOWN THE EAST COAST THROUGH THE
SHORT TERM PERIOD. THE MEAN 1000 - 700 MB FLOW THE NEXT FEW DAYS
WILL BE FROM THE SOUTHWEST TO WEST AROUND OR JUST UNDER 10 KTS. THIS
IS A FAVORABLE REGIME FOR POPS ACROSS OUR AREA PER OUR SEA BREEZE
CLIMATOLOGY. MOS POPS SEEM SUSPICIOUSLY LOW SO WILL IGNORE. THE BEST
CHANCE FOR CONVECTION WILL BE ON SATURDAY AS THE TROUGH DEEPENS AND
A COLD FRONT LAYS OUT EAST TO WEST ACROSS CENTRAL AL/GA. MODELS
CONTINUE TO SHOW PWAT VALUES AT OR ABOVE 2 INCHES THROUGH THE
PERIOD. TEMPERATURES WILL BE AT OR ABOVE SEASONAL LEVELS BUT SHOULD
WILL SEEM SOMEWHAT PLEASANT COMPARED TO WHAT WE HAVE BEEN
EXPERIENCING THE PAST FEW WEEKS.


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