Short Term Forecast

.SHORT TERM (TODAY-SATURDAY)...
ALTHOUGH HEAT INDICES WILL REMAIN ELEVATED OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS...SLIGHTLY BELOW ADVISORY LEVEL VALUES ARE FORECAST FOR TODAY
AND FRIDAY. THE MODELS ARE IN GENERAL AGREEMENT THROUGH THIS
SHORT-TERM PERIOD AND INDICATE THIS AS WELL AS THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE
OVERHEAD CONTINUES TO WEAKEN AND AN UPPER TROUGH DEEPENS NORTH OF
THE LOCAL AREA. IN ADDITION TO THE HEAT...EXPECT SCATTERED SHOWERS
AND STORMS TO DEVELOP EACH AFTERNOON...MAINLY DUE TO LOCAL SEA
BREEZE CIRCULATIONS. A FEW STORMS COULD REACH" onClick="return popup(this, 'notes')">REACH STRONG LEVELS WITH THE
MAIN THREATS BEING LIGHTNING AND WIND GUSTS. PWAT VALUES FROM THE
MODELS REMAIN ABOVE AVERAGE (>2 INCHES) THROUGH THIS PERIOD ACROSS
MUCH OF THE FORECAST AREA.

ON SATURDAY...A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL APPROACH OUR GA/AL ZONES
FROM THE NORTH. THIS WILL SHIFT THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS CURRENTLY
OVERHEAD SOUTH OF THE AREA. THE RESULTANT FLOW WILL PRIMARILY BE
SOUTHWEST AND WEST UP TO AROUND 10 KFT. THE COMBINATION OF PLENTY OF
DEEP LAYER MOISTURE...MODERATE INSTABILITY AND THE WEAK FRONTAL
BOUNDARY JUST NORTH OF THE AREA WILL LEAD TO ABOVE AVERAGE
RAINFALL PROBABILITIES OVER THE AREA COME SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND
EVENING.


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