SYNOPSIS – Drier air is moving into the Wiregrass, leading to mainly clear skies and slightly cooler air at night. We’ll still be hot by day, with highs reaching the lower 90s. Rain chances are negligible through the weekend, perhaps increasing by the middle of next week, depending on the track of the tropical wave we’re tracking in the Southwest Atlantic Ocean.
TONIGHT – Clear. Low near 70°. Winds light ENE.
TOMORROW – Mostly sunny. High near 93°. Winds E at 5-10 mph.
TOMORROW NIGHT – Clear. Low near 70°. Winds light E.
SAT: Mostly sunny. Low: 70° High: 93° 5%
SUN: Mostly sunny. Low: 71° High: 93° 5%
MON: Partly cloudy, slight rain chance. Low: 72° High: 92° 20%
TUE: Partly cloudy, isolated showers and thunderstorms. Low: 73° High: 91° 30%
WED: Scattered showers and thunderstorms. Low: 73° High: 88° 40%
THU: Mostly sunny. Low: 71° High: 92° 5%
COASTAL FORECAST FRIDAY – Light Chop on Coastal Lakes and Bays. Winds E at 10-15 kts. Seas 2-3 feet.
TROPICAL UPDATE – Gaston remains safely out to sea over the Central Atlantic. Meanwhile, the tropical wave we're tracking north of Hispaniola continues moving to the WNW. The visible satellite imagery Thursday afternoon shows a distinct low-level cloud swirl, but there is a lack of any deep thunderstorm activity. Thus, this system remains disorganized. However, conditions should become more favorable for development Friday and into the weekend as the low pressure moves towards the Southeast Gulf of Mexico. The computer model guidance from Thursday morning still varies quite a bit, ranging from Texas to the west coast of Florida. The models should come into better agreement once the circulation actually begins to develop. Right now it's still too disorganized for the computer models to get a good grasp. Regarding the strength, most models suggest gradual strengthening this weekend into a tropical storm, with some pointing towards a hurricane by early next week. There are some models that hint at explosive development, which is a possibility with water temps in the upper 80s, but far from a certainty. Keep paying attention as we monitor the latest developments. Once organization begins (assuming this happens), we'll have a much better idea on the ultimate track and strength.
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WTVY 4Warn Weather Team, Chief Meteorologist David Paul, Evan Chickvara, Meteorologist Caroline Ritter, Meteorologist Lauren Linahan