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Area River Levels & Flood Stages Fri Aug 23 Morning Update

By: Oscar Fann WTVY-TV meteorologist, the 4Warn weather team & the National Weather Service
By: Oscar Fann WTVY-TV meteorologist, the 4Warn weather team & the National Weather Service

****************************UPDATE********************************

Latest information as of 3 am cdt Friday Aug 23 -

For the WTVY-TV coverage area -

IMPORTANT - river crest forecasts can and do change depending upon additional heavy rainfall...however, the changes are becoming less significant as we trend toward a drier pattern.

The following locations are ABOVE Flood Stage:

Caryville..........Choctawhatchee River...Walton county........Fla
Ebro/Bruce.....Choctawhatchee River...Walton county........Fla
Altha................Chipola River....................Calhoun county.....Fla
Blountstown...Apalachicola River..........Calhoun county.....Fla

CURRENTLY forecast to remain near Flood Stage through most of the upcoming weekend for the following:

Crestview.......Shoal River........................Okaloosa county...Fla
Marianna........Chipola River....................Jackson county.....Fla
Iron City...........Spring Creek....................Seminole county...Ga

FOR NOW, no locations in Alabama or Georgia in the WTVY-TV viewing area are forecast to exceed Flood Stage.
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REMEMBER - please stay informed if you live or are near any rivers or creeks.

When FLOODING is a threat -

Protect yourself and your loved ones first - belongings and property second. Have a plan of action should water rise close to you.

Keep an eye on your children and pets and prevent them from approaching any stream - the water is fast, powerful and easily could sweep them away.

DON'T drive on roadways where you cannot see the road...the road may be washed out or the water deep enough (often less than a foot of water may be enough to float your vehicle away).

Please PAY UTMOST ATTENTION to specific flood warnings for your area, and if you are affected, please don't wait until the last minute to leave.
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Please note the following when looking at river / creek levels and forecasts-

1) River levels may fluctuate in the short term. When a river is rising, PAY CLOSE ATTENTION to the river forecasts...

2) River level forecasts are constantly changing because recent rain is added to the computer forecast model AND short term future forecast rains are included - BUT they are just that - FORECASTS, NOT ACTUAL RAINFALL...therefore, the river forecasts are updated every few hours to reflect ongoing changes...

3) Just because a river has crested does NOT mean it will start dropping immediately - the river may remain steady for hours, possibly days or fall very slowly.
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UPDATES continue for this current heavy rain and flooding event.

Abbreviations are as follows:
River / Creek = RIVER
County = CTY
Location = SITE
Latest water level = CURR (feet)
Flood Stage = FS (feet)
Projection = CREST (feet, time, date at that site - TIMES are CDT)
Information Unavailable = Missing

RIVER------------CTY------------SITE---------CURR-----FS---CREST

Shoal------------Okaloosa------Crestview-----7.6-----8.0--slowing falling

Shoal------------- Walton-----Mossy Head-----9.5---14.0--falling

Pea----------------Coffee------------Elba-------11.3---30.0--slowing falling

Choctawhatchee----Dale-------Newton------8.2---19.0--steady

Choctawhatchee--Geneva-----Geneva----17.2---23.0--falling

Choctawhatchee---Walton-----Caryville---13.6---12.0--steady

Choctawhatchee---Walton------Bruce------16.8--13.0--steady (forecast to remain near Major Flood Stage (16.5) into Sun Aug 25)

Chipola------------Jackson------Marianna---18.2--19.0--slowly falling

Chipola------------Calhoun---------Altha------25.1--22.0--cresting

Apalachicola---Seminole--Woodruff Dam--56.6--66.0--controlled

Apalachicola----Calhoun----Blountstown---17.4---15.0---17.6 @ 6am Fri Aug 23

Spring Creek-----Seminole-----Iron City-----15.0---16.0---steady

Flint------------------Decatur-----Bainbridge---22.8---25.0---slowly falling

Oscar Fann WTVY - TV meteorologist
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•Outlook for Fri Aug 23 thru late next week (thru Fri Aug 30)...

A weak tropical low formed in the northeast Gulf of Mexico Thursday and was responsible for the occasional heavy / persistent rain that resulted in quite a few areas, including parts of Dothan.

This tropical low is not expected to get any stronger and will be moving away from our area on Friday. Until it does so, rain chance will be a little higher..about 50%.

Saturday, the low will be near southern Louisiana and moving west, and expect 40% rain chances.

Sunday, rain chances drop to about 30%, but much drier air begins to arrive from the north as expected Sunday afternoon.

HAY CUTTERS & others looking for an extended dry spell -

GOOD NEWS continues to hold (and actually gets better)...

Next week (Monday through Friday Aug 26-30) continues to look much drier (so much in fact, the dry period now looks to last through Friday, instead of through Wednesday)....with rain chances restricted to close to the coast (20 - 30% for the Florida panhandle, mainly along and south of I-10).

DEWPOINTS (absolute humidity) are expected to drop into the low to mid 60s...that would be good news for curing...

For specific crest levels and timing of these crests, please consult
the NWS website at

http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=tae


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