TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT SUN JUN 29 2014
Satellite wind data and surface observations indicate that the low
pressure system located about 230 miles east of St. Augustine,
Florida, is gradually becoming better defined as it moves slowly
southward to southwestward.
Although upper-level winds are only marginally favorable, a tropical depression is expected to form during the next day or two.
However, the system's proximity to dry air could inhibit significant development until conditions become more conducive by late Tuesday while the low meanders offshore of the Florida east coast.
The Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft that was scheduled to investigate the disturbance this afternoon has been canceled, and the flight has been rescheduled for Monday morning, if necessary.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...60 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.
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